Mounting pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer from poor local election results and internal Labour dissent has elevated prospects for a 2026 leadership contest, positioning Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the frontrunner. His approval to contest the Makerfield by-election, expected within weeks, clears a key barrier to returning to Parliament and mounting a challenge, bolstered by strong public polling and member support. Recent developments include Health Secretary Wes Streeting’s resignation over lost confidence in Starmer and Angela Rayner’s clearance on prior tax matters, which could enable her candidacy. Traders assign Burnham the highest implied probability for assuming the role this year, while the notable share for no change reflects Starmer’s incumbency and the uncertain timeline for any contest or snap election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安迪·伯纳姆 47.4%
2026年没有下任首相 27%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
韦斯·斯特里廷 8%
$7,099,932 交易量
$7,099,932 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
47%
2026年没有下任首相
27%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
韦斯·斯特里廷
8%
埃德·米利班德
5%
Al Carns
2%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
安迪·伯纳姆 47.4%
2026年没有下任首相 27%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
韦斯·斯特里廷 8%
$7,099,932 交易量
$7,099,932 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
47%
2026年没有下任首相
27%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
韦斯·斯特里廷
8%
埃德·米利班德
5%
Al Carns
2%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mounting pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer from poor local election results and internal Labour dissent has elevated prospects for a 2026 leadership contest, positioning Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the frontrunner. His approval to contest the Makerfield by-election, expected within weeks, clears a key barrier to returning to Parliament and mounting a challenge, bolstered by strong public polling and member support. Recent developments include Health Secretary Wes Streeting’s resignation over lost confidence in Starmer and Angela Rayner’s clearance on prior tax matters, which could enable her candidacy. Traders assign Burnham the highest implied probability for assuming the role this year, while the notable share for no change reflects Starmer’s incumbency and the uncertain timeline for any contest or snap election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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