The open seat in Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, has produced a competitive Republican primary on August 6 featuring Van Hilleary, Johnny Garrett, Jon Henry, and Natisha Brooks. Hilleary and Garrett lead as the main contenders, both emphasizing Trump-aligned positions on immigration, public safety, and energy policy, while drawing substantial fundraising and operating in a redrawn district that incorporates new Middle Tennessee territory. Brooks's recent suspension and endorsement of Hilleary has consolidated some support without yet shifting the balance decisively. Fundraising edges for Garrett, name recognition for Hilleary, and overlapping conservative voter bases have kept probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to emerge from final-week endorsements, turnout patterns, or any late polling that clarifies preferences among the district's core Republican electorate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于约翰尼·加勒特 61%
范·希莱瑞 52%
乔恩·亨利 16%
Natisha Brooks 8%
约翰尼·加勒特
61%
范·希莱瑞
35%
乔恩·亨利
16%
Natisha Brooks
8%
约翰尼·加勒特 61%
范·希莱瑞 52%
乔恩·亨利 16%
Natisha Brooks 8%
约翰尼·加勒特
61%
范·希莱瑞
35%
乔恩·亨利
16%
Natisha Brooks
8%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Jul 23, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The open seat in Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, has produced a competitive Republican primary on August 6 featuring Van Hilleary, Johnny Garrett, Jon Henry, and Natisha Brooks. Hilleary and Garrett lead as the main contenders, both emphasizing Trump-aligned positions on immigration, public safety, and energy policy, while drawing substantial fundraising and operating in a redrawn district that incorporates new Middle Tennessee territory. Brooks's recent suspension and endorsement of Hilleary has consolidated some support without yet shifting the balance decisively. Fundraising edges for Garrett, name recognition for Hilleary, and overlapping conservative voter bases have kept probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to emerge from final-week endorsements, turnout patterns, or any late polling that clarifies preferences among the district's core Republican electorate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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