United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional administrative resources, alignment with federal leadership under President Putin, and consistent dominance in prior regional contests, including the governor's 2025 reelection. The September 18–20, 2026, vote coincides with national Duma elections where the party is on track for a strong majority amid limited opposition participation and high reported turnout. Other listed parties trail far behind in implied probabilities, reflecting structural barriers such as signature requirements and party registration rules. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include verified irregularities in single-mandate districts or unexpected shifts in proportional representation tallies during final counting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 99.7%
Rodina <1%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
最新
最新
2027-07-31
United Russia
100%
Rodina
<1%
New People
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
The Greens
<1%
United Russia 99.7%
Rodina <1%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
最新
最新
2027-07-31
United Russia
$2,466 交易量
100%
Rodina
$813 交易量
<1%
New People
$384 交易量
<1%
LDPR
$1,048 交易量
<1%
Yabloko
$902 交易量
<1%
CPRF
$808 交易量
<1%
A Just Russia
$882 交易量
<1%
Communists of Russia
$1,230 交易量
<1%
The Greens
$1,039 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional administrative resources, alignment with federal leadership under President Putin, and consistent dominance in prior regional contests, including the governor's 2025 reelection. The September 18–20, 2026, vote coincides with national Duma elections where the party is on track for a strong majority amid limited opposition participation and high reported turnout. Other listed parties trail far behind in implied probabilities, reflecting structural barriers such as signature requirements and party registration rules. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include verified irregularities in single-mandate districts or unexpected shifts in proportional representation tallies during final counting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
交易量
$9,573结束日期
2027-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional administrative resources, alignment with federal leadership under President Putin, and consistent dominance in prior regional contests, including the governor's 2025 reelection. The September 18–20, 2026, vote coincides with national Duma elections where the party is on track for a strong majority amid limited opposition participation and high reported turnout. Other listed parties trail far behind in implied probabilities, reflecting structural barriers such as signature requirements and party registration rules. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include verified irregularities in single-mandate districts or unexpected shifts in proportional representation tallies during final counting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Leningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Leningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Leningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$9,573结束日期
2027-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETUnited Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Leningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional administrative resources, alignment with federal leadership under President Putin, and consistent dominance in prior regional contests, including the governor's 2025 reelection. The September 18–20, 2026, vote coincides with national Duma elections where the party is on track for a strong majority amid limited opposition participation and high reported turnout. Other listed parties trail far behind in implied probabilities, reflecting structural barriers such as signature requirements and party registration rules. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include verified irregularities in single-mandate districts or unexpected shifts in proportional representation tallies during final counting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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