Trader consensus heavily favors no parliamentary election before 2027 at 75%, driven by the House of Elders' April 28 approval of a 27-month extension for House of Representatives and local council terms, postponing polls originally slated for late May 2026 to mid-2028 amid preparations cited by the government and National Electoral Commission. Waddani leads party odds at 23.4% as President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Irro)'s party, buoyed by its 2024 presidential landslide over Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.3%, with Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting post-election shifts in political momentum despite opposition criticism of the delay and calls for electoral timelines. No new catalysts have emerged in the past two weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年前没有选举 88%
正义与福利党（UCID） 5.3%
库尔米耶 1.9%
瓦达尼 0
$18,371 交易量
$18,371 交易量
2026-03-31
2027年前没有选举
77%
正义与福利党（UCID）
5%
库尔米耶
2%
瓦达尼
29%
2027年前没有选举 88%
正义与福利党（UCID） 5.3%
库尔米耶 1.9%
瓦达尼 0
$18,371 交易量
$18,371 交易量
2026-03-31
2027年前没有选举
$10,022 交易量
77%
正义与福利党（UCID）
$3,877 交易量
5%
库尔米耶
$2,458 交易量
2%
瓦达尼
$2,013 交易量
29%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus heavily favors no parliamentary election before 2027 at 75%, driven by the House of Elders' April 28 approval of a 27-month extension for House of Representatives and local council terms, postponing polls originally slated for late May 2026 to mid-2028 amid preparations cited by the government and National Electoral Commission. Waddani leads party odds at 23.4% as President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Irro)'s party, buoyed by its 2024 presidential landslide over Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.3%, with Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting post-election shifts in political momentum despite opposition criticism of the delay and calls for electoral timelines. No new catalysts have emerged in the past two weeks.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
交易量
$18,371结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus heavily favors no parliamentary election before 2027 at 75%, driven by the House of Elders' April 28 approval of a 27-month extension for House of Representatives and local council terms, postponing polls originally slated for late May 2026 to mid-2028 amid preparations cited by the government and National Electoral Commission. Waddani leads party odds at 23.4% as President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Irro)'s party, buoyed by its 2024 presidential landslide over Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.3%, with Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting post-election shifts in political momentum despite opposition criticism of the delay and calls for electoral timelines. No new catalysts have emerged in the past two weeks.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
交易量
$18,371结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no parliamentary election before 2027 at 75%, driven by the House of Elders' April 28 approval of a 27-month extension for House of Representatives and local council terms, postponing polls originally slated for late May 2026 to mid-2028 amid preparations cited by the government and National Electoral Commission. Waddani leads party odds at 23.4% as President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Irro)'s party, buoyed by its 2024 presidential landslide over Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.3%, with Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting post-election shifts in political momentum despite opposition criticism of the delay and calls for electoral timelines. No new catalysts have emerged in the past two weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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