Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed by roughly ten months to March 2027 following term extensions and disputed constitutional amendments approved earlier in 2026. These moves by the House of Elders and parliament have extended mandates amid ongoing disputes over electoral timelines and procedures, reflecting a pattern of delays that has shaped trader consensus around the dominant "no election before 2027" outcome. Recent presidential voting in November 2024, which saw a change in leadership, has not altered the procedural barriers for the legislature. While scheduled events like further negotiations or commission rulings could theoretically accelerate preparations, the structural and political factors supporting postponement remain the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年前没有选举 95%
正义与福利党（UCID） 2.7%
瓦达尼 2.6%
库尔米耶 1.9%
$94,636 交易量
$94,636 交易量
2026-12-31
2027年前没有选举
95%
正义与福利党（UCID）
3%
瓦达尼
3%
库尔米耶
2%
2027年前没有选举 95%
正义与福利党（UCID） 2.7%
瓦达尼 2.6%
库尔米耶 1.9%
$94,636 交易量
$94,636 交易量
2026-12-31
2027年前没有选举
$84,777 交易量
95%
正义与福利党（UCID）
$4,279 交易量
3%
瓦达尼
$2,522 交易量
3%
库尔米耶
$3,058 交易量
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed by roughly ten months to March 2027 following term extensions and disputed constitutional amendments approved earlier in 2026. These moves by the House of Elders and parliament have extended mandates amid ongoing disputes over electoral timelines and procedures, reflecting a pattern of delays that has shaped trader consensus around the dominant "no election before 2027" outcome. Recent presidential voting in November 2024, which saw a change in leadership, has not altered the procedural barriers for the legislature. While scheduled events like further negotiations or commission rulings could theoretically accelerate preparations, the structural and political factors supporting postponement remain the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
交易量
$94,636结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed by roughly ten months to March 2027 following term extensions and disputed constitutional amendments approved earlier in 2026. These moves by the House of Elders and parliament have extended mandates amid ongoing disputes over electoral timelines and procedures, reflecting a pattern of delays that has shaped trader consensus around the dominant "no election before 2027" outcome. Recent presidential voting in November 2024, which saw a change in leadership, has not altered the procedural barriers for the legislature. While scheduled events like further negotiations or commission rulings could theoretically accelerate preparations, the structural and political factors supporting postponement remain the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
交易量
$94,636结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed by roughly ten months to March 2027 following term extensions and disputed constitutional amendments approved earlier in 2026. These moves by the House of Elders and parliament have extended mandates amid ongoing disputes over electoral timelines and procedures, reflecting a pattern of delays that has shaped trader consensus around the dominant "no election before 2027" outcome. Recent presidential voting in November 2024, which saw a change in leadership, has not altered the procedural barriers for the legislature. While scheduled events like further negotiations or commission rulings could theoretically accelerate preparations, the structural and political factors supporting postponement remain the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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