Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour competing closely for first and second on primary votes, with the next tier of parties clustered between roughly 8% and 13%. This positioning underpins trader consensus around New Zealand First and the Greens as the most probable third-place finishers. August surveys from 1News-Verian, Talbot Mills and others indicate New Zealand First support holding or rising modestly amid coalition dynamics, while Green numbers have eased slightly. ACT remains competitive but trails in most aggregates, and newer entrant Opportunity Party has cleared the 5% threshold in some releases without yet displacing the established smaller parties. Leadership questions around National and seat-projection volatility continue to shape positioning for the remaining campaign period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,021 交易量
$13,021 交易量
2026-11-07
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,021 交易量
$13,021 交易量
2026-11-07
New Zealand First Party
$4,805 交易量
53%
Green Party
$5,260 交易量
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 交易量
2%
National Party
$415 交易量
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 交易量
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 交易量
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour competing closely for first and second on primary votes, with the next tier of parties clustered between roughly 8% and 13%. This positioning underpins trader consensus around New Zealand First and the Greens as the most probable third-place finishers. August surveys from 1News-Verian, Talbot Mills and others indicate New Zealand First support holding or rising modestly amid coalition dynamics, while Green numbers have eased slightly. ACT remains competitive but trails in most aggregates, and newer entrant Opportunity Party has cleared the 5% threshold in some releases without yet displacing the established smaller parties. Leadership questions around National and seat-projection volatility continue to shape positioning for the remaining campaign period.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$13,021结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour competing closely for first and second on primary votes, with the next tier of parties clustered between roughly 8% and 13%. This positioning underpins trader consensus around New Zealand First and the Greens as the most probable third-place finishers. August surveys from 1News-Verian, Talbot Mills and others indicate New Zealand First support holding or rising modestly amid coalition dynamics, while Green numbers have eased slightly. ACT remains competitive but trails in most aggregates, and newer entrant Opportunity Party has cleared the 5% threshold in some releases without yet displacing the established smaller parties. Leadership questions around National and seat-projection volatility continue to shape positioning for the remaining campaign period.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$13,021结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour competing closely for first and second on primary votes, with the next tier of parties clustered between roughly 8% and 13%. This positioning underpins trader consensus around New Zealand First and the Greens as the most probable third-place finishers. August surveys from 1News-Verian, Talbot Mills and others indicate New Zealand First support holding or rising modestly amid coalition dynamics, while Green numbers have eased slightly. ACT remains competitive but trails in most aggregates, and newer entrant Opportunity Party has cleared the 5% threshold in some releases without yet displacing the established smaller parties. Leadership questions around National and seat-projection volatility continue to shape positioning for the remaining campaign period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于相关
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
34%
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题