Recent polling ahead of New Zealand’s 7 November general election shows National and Labour holding the top two spots while New Zealand First and the Greens compete closely for third place in party vote share. New Zealand First’s established voter base and coalition role sustain its implied probability despite recent declines to around 8 percent, while the Greens’ steadier support near 12 percent keeps them competitive. The Opportunity Party’s surge past the 5 percent threshold and ACT’s gains introduce further fragmentation among smaller parties, heightening uncertainty over final rankings. Traders weigh these trends and historical minor-party performance under mixed-member proportional representation when assessing third-place outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,171 交易量
$13,171 交易量
2026-11-07
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,171 交易量
$13,171 交易量
2026-11-07
New Zealand First Party
$4,935 交易量
53%
Green Party
$5,280 交易量
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 交易量
2%
National Party
$415 交易量
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 交易量
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 交易量
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling ahead of New Zealand’s 7 November general election shows National and Labour holding the top two spots while New Zealand First and the Greens compete closely for third place in party vote share. New Zealand First’s established voter base and coalition role sustain its implied probability despite recent declines to around 8 percent, while the Greens’ steadier support near 12 percent keeps them competitive. The Opportunity Party’s surge past the 5 percent threshold and ACT’s gains introduce further fragmentation among smaller parties, heightening uncertainty over final rankings. Traders weigh these trends and historical minor-party performance under mixed-member proportional representation when assessing third-place outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$13,171结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling ahead of New Zealand’s 7 November general election shows National and Labour holding the top two spots while New Zealand First and the Greens compete closely for third place in party vote share. New Zealand First’s established voter base and coalition role sustain its implied probability despite recent declines to around 8 percent, while the Greens’ steadier support near 12 percent keeps them competitive. The Opportunity Party’s surge past the 5 percent threshold and ACT’s gains introduce further fragmentation among smaller parties, heightening uncertainty over final rankings. Traders weigh these trends and historical minor-party performance under mixed-member proportional representation when assessing third-place outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$13,171结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of New Zealand’s 7 November general election shows National and Labour holding the top two spots while New Zealand First and the Greens compete closely for third place in party vote share. New Zealand First’s established voter base and coalition role sustain its implied probability despite recent declines to around 8 percent, while the Greens’ steadier support near 12 percent keeps them competitive. The Opportunity Party’s surge past the 5 percent threshold and ACT’s gains introduce further fragmentation among smaller parties, heightening uncertainty over final rankings. Traders weigh these trends and historical minor-party performance under mixed-member proportional representation when assessing third-place outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于相关
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警惕外部链接哦。
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