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icon for New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

icon for New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

National Party 53%

Labour Party 42%

New Zealand First Party <1%

Te Pāti Māori <1%

Polymarket

$17,843 交易量

National Party 53%

Labour Party 42%

New Zealand First Party <1%

Te Pāti Māori <1%

Polymarket

$17,843 交易量

icon for National Party

National Party

$8,808 交易量

53%

icon for Labour Party

Labour Party

$4,789 交易量

42%

icon for New Zealand First Party

New Zealand First Party

$1,262 交易量

1%

icon for Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori

$1,199 交易量

1%

icon for Green Party

Green Party

$542 交易量

<1%

icon for ACT New Zealand

ACT New Zealand

$1,243 交易量

<1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates show New Zealand's two largest parties locked in a tight contest ahead of the 7 November 2026 general election, with National and Labour each receiving roughly 29-37 percent support across major surveys conducted in July and August. This narrow gap, combined with vote fragmentation among NZ First, the Greens, ACT, and emerging smaller parties, positions either major party as the probable runner-up depending on final turnout and preference flows under the MMP system. National's current position as coalition leader has produced modest erosion in some recent results, while Labour has posted incremental gains, sustaining trader focus on these two outcomes for second place over minor parties that rarely exceed single digits. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in coalition arithmetic could still alter the ordering before election day.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$17,843
结束日期
2026-11-07
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates show New Zealand's two largest parties locked in a tight contest ahead of the 7 November 2026 general election, with National and Labour each receiving roughly 29-37 percent support across major surveys conducted in July and August. This narrow gap, combined with vote fragmentation among NZ First, the Greens, ACT, and emerging smaller parties, positions either major party as the probable runner-up depending on final turnout and preference flows under the MMP system. National's current position as coalition leader has produced modest erosion in some recent results, while Labour has posted incremental gains, sustaining trader focus on these two outcomes for second place over minor parties that rarely exceed single digits. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in coalition arithmetic could still alter the ordering before election day.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$17,843
结束日期
2026-11-07
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"National Party",概率为 53%,其次是"Labour Party",概率为 42%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 53¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 53%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"已产生 $17.8K 的总交易量(自Apr 29, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"的当前领先者是"National Party",概率为 53%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 53%。紧随其后的结果是"Labour Party",概率为 42%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。