Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show a tight race between the National and Labour parties, with Labour ahead or nearly tied in several August surveys from firms including Talbot Mills and 1News-Verian. This tightening has shaped trader consensus around National as the most probable second-place finisher. The rise of the Opportunity Party has drawn support from multiple blocs, further fragmenting smaller parties such as NZ First, ACT, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori. National’s coalition partners have also seen fluctuating numbers, reinforcing the view that National will likely trail Labour but finish ahead of the rest of the field under the MMP system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于National Party 53%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,846 交易量
$17,846 交易量
2026-11-07
National Party
53%
Labour Party
42%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,846 交易量
$17,846 交易量
2026-11-07
National Party
$8,811 交易量
53%
Labour Party
$4,789 交易量
42%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 交易量
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 交易量
1%
Green Party
$542 交易量
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 交易量
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show a tight race between the National and Labour parties, with Labour ahead or nearly tied in several August surveys from firms including Talbot Mills and 1News-Verian. This tightening has shaped trader consensus around National as the most probable second-place finisher. The rise of the Opportunity Party has drawn support from multiple blocs, further fragmenting smaller parties such as NZ First, ACT, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori. National’s coalition partners have also seen fluctuating numbers, reinforcing the view that National will likely trail Labour but finish ahead of the rest of the field under the MMP system.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
交易量
$17,846结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show a tight race between the National and Labour parties, with Labour ahead or nearly tied in several August surveys from firms including Talbot Mills and 1News-Verian. This tightening has shaped trader consensus around National as the most probable second-place finisher. The rise of the Opportunity Party has drawn support from multiple blocs, further fragmenting smaller parties such as NZ First, ACT, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori. National’s coalition partners have also seen fluctuating numbers, reinforcing the view that National will likely trail Labour but finish ahead of the rest of the field under the MMP system.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$17,846结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show a tight race between the National and Labour parties, with Labour ahead or nearly tied in several August surveys from firms including Talbot Mills and 1News-Verian. This tightening has shaped trader consensus around National as the most probable second-place finisher. The rise of the Opportunity Party has drawn support from multiple blocs, further fragmenting smaller parties such as NZ First, ACT, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori. National’s coalition partners have also seen fluctuating numbers, reinforcing the view that National will likely trail Labour but finish ahead of the rest of the field under the MMP system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于相关
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
60%
Labour
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