Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows a tight contest between National and Labour for first place, with National support ranging from 30-36 percent and Labour rising to 35-37 percent in April surveys. This volatility has elevated National’s implied probability of finishing second, while Labour’s gains and New Zealand First’s occasional surges to double digits shape the race for the remaining podium spots. Cost-of-living pressures and softening coalition approval have narrowed the gap between the two largest parties, leaving smaller players such as the Greens, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori further back in seat projections. Traders weigh these short-term swings against the MMP system’s tendency for coalition dynamics to influence final order.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Labour Party 37%
New Zealand First Party 22%
Green Party 20.2%
ACT New Zealand 19%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
Labour Party
26%
New Zealand First Party
22%
Green Party
20%
ACT New Zealand
19%
Te Pāti Māori
14%
National Party
49%
Labour Party 37%
New Zealand First Party 22%
Green Party 20.2%
ACT New Zealand 19%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
Labour Party
$78 交易量
26%
New Zealand First Party
$46 交易量
22%
Green Party
$35 交易量
20%
ACT New Zealand
$35 交易量
19%
Te Pāti Māori
$35 交易量
14%
National Party
$74 交易量
49%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows a tight contest between National and Labour for first place, with National support ranging from 30-36 percent and Labour rising to 35-37 percent in April surveys. This volatility has elevated National’s implied probability of finishing second, while Labour’s gains and New Zealand First’s occasional surges to double digits shape the race for the remaining podium spots. Cost-of-living pressures and softening coalition approval have narrowed the gap between the two largest parties, leaving smaller players such as the Greens, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori further back in seat projections. Traders weigh these short-term swings against the MMP system’s tendency for coalition dynamics to influence final order.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
交易量
$304结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows a tight contest between National and Labour for first place, with National support ranging from 30-36 percent and Labour rising to 35-37 percent in April surveys. This volatility has elevated National’s implied probability of finishing second, while Labour’s gains and New Zealand First’s occasional surges to double digits shape the race for the remaining podium spots. Cost-of-living pressures and softening coalition approval have narrowed the gap between the two largest parties, leaving smaller players such as the Greens, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori further back in seat projections. Traders weigh these short-term swings against the MMP system’s tendency for coalition dynamics to influence final order.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$304结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows a tight contest between National and Labour for first place, with National support ranging from 30-36 percent and Labour rising to 35-37 percent in April surveys. This volatility has elevated National’s implied probability of finishing second, while Labour’s gains and New Zealand First’s occasional surges to double digits shape the race for the remaining podium spots. Cost-of-living pressures and softening coalition approval have narrowed the gap between the two largest parties, leaving smaller players such as the Greens, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori further back in seat projections. Traders weigh these short-term swings against the MMP system’s tendency for coalition dynamics to influence final order.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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