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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
选举·法国选举

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
选举·法国选举

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

最新
2027-04-23
Polymarket

$9,815 交易量

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 交易量

40%

Jordan Bardella

$890 交易量

68%

Michel Barnier

$141 交易量

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 交易量

10%

Gabriel Attal

$549 交易量

93%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 交易量

31%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 交易量

28%

Jean Castex

$64 交易量

20%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 交易量

11%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 交易量

42%

François Bayrou

$463 交易量

10%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 交易量

51%

Carole Delga

$148 交易量

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 交易量

48%

François Hollande

$132 交易量

51%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 交易量

50%

Manuel Bompard

$63 交易量

16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 交易量

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 交易量

9%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 交易量

54%

Marine Le Pen

$67 交易量

54%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With Emmanuel Macron term-limited, multiple political figures have begun declaring candidacies for the April 2027 French presidential election throughout 2026. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid on May 3, citing opposition to foreign policy and far-right advances, while Édouard Philippe has signaled his center-right intentions following his mayoral re-election. The Republicans selected Bruno Retailleau as their nominee in April, and Jordan Bardella remains the likely standard-bearer for the National Rally if Marine Le Pen faces disqualification. On the left, a unitary primary scheduled for October 11, 2026, seeks to consolidate candidates from the Socialists, Greens, and others amid ongoing divisions. These early moves reflect party positioning and polling trends ahead of the first-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,815
结束日期
2027-04-23
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With Emmanuel Macron term-limited, multiple political figures have begun declaring candidacies for the April 2027 French presidential election throughout 2026. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid on May 3, citing opposition to foreign policy and far-right advances, while Édouard Philippe has signaled his center-right intentions following his mayoral re-election. The Republicans selected Bruno Retailleau as their nominee in April, and Jordan Bardella remains the likely standard-bearer for the National Rally if Marine Le Pen faces disqualification. On the left, a unitary primary scheduled for October 11, 2026, seeks to consolidate candidates from the Socialists, Greens, and others amid ongoing divisions. These early moves reflect party positioning and polling trends ahead of the first-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,815
结束日期
2027-04-23
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 21 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 99%，其次是"Gabriel Attal"，概率为 93%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Apr 22, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 21 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"的当前领先者是"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 99%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"Gabriel Attal"，概率为 93%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。