The district's strong Republican tilt and Lauren Boebert's incumbency underpin the 63.5% Republican probability in this 2026 House race, though Democratic efforts narrow the margin to 37.5%. The 4th District covers rural Eastern Plains areas plus growing southern Denver suburbs like Douglas County, where partisan shifts have drawn national attention. Both nominees advanced unopposed through June primaries, setting up a general election contest that Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican. The DCCC has prioritized the seat, citing Boebert's prior underperformance and Eileen Laubacher's fundraising edge—over $3 million cash on hand versus Boebert's roughly $250,000. These factors reflect trader consensus on the balance between structural advantage and targeted opposition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,022 交易量
$11,022 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
64%
民主党
38%
$11,022 交易量
$11,022 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,906 交易量
64%
民主党
$2,116 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican tilt and Lauren Boebert's incumbency underpin the 63.5% Republican probability in this 2026 House race, though Democratic efforts narrow the margin to 37.5%. The 4th District covers rural Eastern Plains areas plus growing southern Denver suburbs like Douglas County, where partisan shifts have drawn national attention. Both nominees advanced unopposed through June primaries, setting up a general election contest that Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican. The DCCC has prioritized the seat, citing Boebert's prior underperformance and Eileen Laubacher's fundraising edge—over $3 million cash on hand versus Boebert's roughly $250,000. These factors reflect trader consensus on the balance between structural advantage and targeted opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,022结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican tilt and Lauren Boebert's incumbency underpin the 63.5% Republican probability in this 2026 House race, though Democratic efforts narrow the margin to 37.5%. The 4th District covers rural Eastern Plains areas plus growing southern Denver suburbs like Douglas County, where partisan shifts have drawn national attention. Both nominees advanced unopposed through June primaries, setting up a general election contest that Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican. The DCCC has prioritized the seat, citing Boebert's prior underperformance and Eileen Laubacher's fundraising edge—over $3 million cash on hand versus Boebert's roughly $250,000. These factors reflect trader consensus on the balance between structural advantage and targeted opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,022结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican tilt and Lauren Boebert's incumbency underpin the 63.5% Republican probability in this 2026 House race, though Democratic efforts narrow the margin to 37.5%. The 4th District covers rural Eastern Plains areas plus growing southern Denver suburbs like Douglas County, where partisan shifts have drawn national attention. Both nominees advanced unopposed through June primaries, setting up a general election contest that Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican. The DCCC has prioritized the seat, citing Boebert's prior underperformance and Eileen Laubacher's fundraising edge—over $3 million cash on hand versus Boebert's roughly $250,000. These factors reflect trader consensus on the balance between structural advantage and targeted opposition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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