Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican Colorado's 4th Congressional District, where trader consensus prices GOP victory at 67.5% reflecting the district's strong right-lean and her incumbency advantage after switching from CO-03 in 2024. Recent Democratic primary consolidation, with Trisha Calvarese dropping her rematch bid on April 1 and Eileen Laubacher running uncontested on the June 30 ballot, has weakened the opposition field and bolstered GOP odds. A March poll showed Republicans leading 47%-37% among likely voters, while April fundraising reports highlighted incumbents' financial edge. Upcoming primaries and the November general election remain key catalysts, though historical base rates favor retention in R+ districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
67%
民主党
34%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,309 交易量
67%
民主党
$640 交易量
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican Colorado's 4th Congressional District, where trader consensus prices GOP victory at 67.5% reflecting the district's strong right-lean and her incumbency advantage after switching from CO-03 in 2024. Recent Democratic primary consolidation, with Trisha Calvarese dropping her rematch bid on April 1 and Eileen Laubacher running uncontested on the June 30 ballot, has weakened the opposition field and bolstered GOP odds. A March poll showed Republicans leading 47%-37% among likely voters, while April fundraising reports highlighted incumbents' financial edge. Upcoming primaries and the November general election remain key catalysts, though historical base rates favor retention in R+ districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$7,950结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican Colorado's 4th Congressional District, where trader consensus prices GOP victory at 67.5% reflecting the district's strong right-lean and her incumbency advantage after switching from CO-03 in 2024. Recent Democratic primary consolidation, with Trisha Calvarese dropping her rematch bid on April 1 and Eileen Laubacher running uncontested on the June 30 ballot, has weakened the opposition field and bolstered GOP odds. A March poll showed Republicans leading 47%-37% among likely voters, while April fundraising reports highlighted incumbents' financial edge. Upcoming primaries and the November general election remain key catalysts, though historical base rates favor retention in R+ districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,950结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican Colorado's 4th Congressional District, where trader consensus prices GOP victory at 67.5% reflecting the district's strong right-lean and her incumbency advantage after switching from CO-03 in 2024. Recent Democratic primary consolidation, with Trisha Calvarese dropping her rematch bid on April 1 and Eileen Laubacher running uncontested on the June 30 ballot, has weakened the opposition field and bolstered GOP odds. A March poll showed Republicans leading 47%-37% among likely voters, while April fundraising reports highlighted incumbents' financial edge. Upcoming primaries and the November general election remain key catalysts, though historical base rates favor retention in R+ districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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