Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections, with ten states enacting new maps since summer 2025: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. Partisan state legislative actions, often following Texas’s initial redraw and California’s response, combined with the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais ruling in 2026, which altered Voting Rights Act standards for racial considerations in districting and lifted prior injunctions. These developments have enabled most revised maps to take effect after court stays and reversals, including Alabama’s June 2026 resolution restoring its 2023 lines. A few states saw failed attempts or pending litigation, while primaries and November voting will test the maps’ durability amid ongoing legal and procedural scrutiny.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$395,140 交易量
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
96%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
4%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
$395,140 交易量
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
96%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
4%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections, with ten states enacting new maps since summer 2025: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. Partisan state legislative actions, often following Texas’s initial redraw and California’s response, combined with the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais ruling in 2026, which altered Voting Rights Act standards for racial considerations in districting and lifted prior injunctions. These developments have enabled most revised maps to take effect after court stays and reversals, including Alabama’s June 2026 resolution restoring its 2023 lines. A few states saw failed attempts or pending litigation, while primaries and November voting will test the maps’ durability amid ongoing legal and procedural scrutiny.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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