Several states are adopting new congressional district lines ahead of the 2026 midterms through legislative action or litigation, departing from the standard post-census cycle. Republican-led efforts gained momentum after President Trump urged Texas to redraw maps for potential GOP gains, prompting Democratic countermeasures such as California's voter-approved plan. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29, 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais narrowed Voting Rights Act interpretations on majority-minority districts, accelerating changes in states including Florida, Tennessee, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Utah, where new maps have already passed. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus court challenges in Florida, could still alter lines before November, with candidate filing deadlines and early voting adding procedural pressure in multiple states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$255,606 交易量
2026-11-03
California
97%
Texas
95%
North Carolina
97%
Ohio
94%
Utah
87%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
87%
Virginia
10%
Alabama
83%
South Carolina
84%
Georgia
12%
Kansas
8%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
7%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
13%
Wisconsin
12%
$255,606 交易量
California
$12,000 交易量
97%
Texas
$3,503 交易量
95%
North Carolina
$8,686 交易量
97%
Ohio
$5,770 交易量
94%
Utah
$59,277 交易量
87%
Florida
$1,177 交易量
63%
Louisiana
$15,525 交易量
93%
Missouri
$3,904 交易量
87%
Virginia
$6,816 交易量
10%
Alabama
$14,726 交易量
83%
South Carolina
$21,883 交易量
84%
Georgia
$1,945 交易量
12%
Kansas
$5,162 交易量
8%
New Jersey
$5,044 交易量
6%
Indiana
$28,282 交易量
6%
Washington
$5,135 交易量
8%
Nebraska
$6,500 交易量
7%
Illinois
$9,819 交易量
2%
Minnesota
$9,398 交易量
3%
New York
$8,026 交易量
13%
Maryland
$7,815 交易量
13%
Wisconsin
$15,213 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states are adopting new congressional district lines ahead of the 2026 midterms through legislative action or litigation, departing from the standard post-census cycle. Republican-led efforts gained momentum after President Trump urged Texas to redraw maps for potential GOP gains, prompting Democratic countermeasures such as California's voter-approved plan. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29, 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais narrowed Voting Rights Act interpretations on majority-minority districts, accelerating changes in states including Florida, Tennessee, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Utah, where new maps have already passed. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus court challenges in Florida, could still alter lines before November, with candidate filing deadlines and early voting adding procedural pressure in multiple states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$255,606结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states are adopting new congressional district lines ahead of the 2026 midterms through legislative action or litigation, departing from the standard post-census cycle. Republican-led efforts gained momentum after President Trump urged Texas to redraw maps for potential GOP gains, prompting Democratic countermeasures such as California's voter-approved plan. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29, 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais narrowed Voting Rights Act interpretations on majority-minority districts, accelerating changes in states including Florida, Tennessee, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Utah, where new maps have already passed. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus court challenges in Florida, could still alter lines before November, with candidate filing deadlines and early voting adding procedural pressure in multiple states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$255,606结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Several states are adopting new congressional district lines ahead of the 2026 midterms through legislative action or litigation, departing from the standard post-census cycle. Republican-led efforts gained momentum after President Trump urged Texas to redraw maps for potential GOP gains, prompting Democratic countermeasures such as California's voter-approved plan. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29, 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais narrowed Voting Rights Act interpretations on majority-minority districts, accelerating changes in states including Florida, Tennessee, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Utah, where new maps have already passed. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus court challenges in Florida, could still alter lines before November, with candidate filing deadlines and early voting adding procedural pressure in multiple states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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