Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida’s November 2026 special Senate election, with traders assigning her a 92.5% chance of victory over Democrat Angie Nixon. Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his move to secretary of state, benefits from Florida’s sustained Republican tilt, Trump’s endorsement, strong fundraising, and her prior record as attorney general. Nixon, a state representative and Democratic socialist who upset Alex Vindman in the August Democratic primary, trails in available polling by 8–13 points in a state where Republicans have won recent Senate races by double digits. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in that direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$109,332 交易量
$109,332 交易量
阿什莉·穆迪 (共和党)
93%
安吉·尼克松（民主党）
8%
$109,332 交易量
$109,332 交易量
阿什莉·穆迪 (共和党)
$53,995 交易量
93%
安吉·尼克松（民主党）
$55,337 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida’s November 2026 special Senate election, with traders assigning her a 92.5% chance of victory over Democrat Angie Nixon. Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his move to secretary of state, benefits from Florida’s sustained Republican tilt, Trump’s endorsement, strong fundraising, and her prior record as attorney general. Nixon, a state representative and Democratic socialist who upset Alex Vindman in the August Democratic primary, trails in available polling by 8–13 points in a state where Republicans have won recent Senate races by double digits. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in that direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$109,332市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida’s November 2026 special Senate election, with traders assigning her a 92.5% chance of victory over Democrat Angie Nixon. Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his move to secretary of state, benefits from Florida’s sustained Republican tilt, Trump’s endorsement, strong fundraising, and her prior record as attorney general. Nixon, a state representative and Democratic socialist who upset Alex Vindman in the August Democratic primary, trails in available polling by 8–13 points in a state where Republicans have won recent Senate races by double digits. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in that direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$109,332市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETAshley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida’s November 2026 special Senate election, with traders assigning her a 92.5% chance of victory over Democrat Angie Nixon. Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his move to secretary of state, benefits from Florida’s sustained Republican tilt, Trump’s endorsement, strong fundraising, and her prior record as attorney general. Nixon, a state representative and Democratic socialist who upset Alex Vindman in the August Democratic primary, trails in available polling by 8–13 points in a state where Republicans have won recent Senate races by double digits. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in that direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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