Republican trader consensus favors the GOP at 57.5% in Florida's 9th Congressional District House race, driven by mid-decade redistricting that diluted Democratic margins in this Hispanic-heavy Orlando-area seat, now rated D+4 PVI by Cook Political Report despite its Solid Democratic assessment as of early May. Incumbent Darren Soto announced his reelection bid on May 1 amid legal challenges to the GOP-drawn map, which projects a statewide 24-4 Republican edge. GOP gains among Puerto Rican voters, fueled by Trump's 2024 performance in Osceola County, bolster pickup prospects against Soto, who won comfortably last cycle. A crowded Republican primary featuring Justin Story, Thomas Chalifoux, and others precedes the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,073 交易量
$13,073 交易量
共和党
55%
民主党
41%
$13,073 交易量
$13,073 交易量
共和党
55%
民主党
41%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican trader consensus favors the GOP at 57.5% in Florida's 9th Congressional District House race, driven by mid-decade redistricting that diluted Democratic margins in this Hispanic-heavy Orlando-area seat, now rated D+4 PVI by Cook Political Report despite its Solid Democratic assessment as of early May. Incumbent Darren Soto announced his reelection bid on May 1 amid legal challenges to the GOP-drawn map, which projects a statewide 24-4 Republican edge. GOP gains among Puerto Rican voters, fueled by Trump's 2024 performance in Osceola County, bolster pickup prospects against Soto, who won comfortably last cycle. A crowded Republican primary featuring Justin Story, Thomas Chalifoux, and others precedes the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题