Dan Meuser, the Republican incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district for the November 2026 general election due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. Meuser advanced easily through the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged from a low-profile Democratic contest in a district long considered solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.7% for the Republican nominee aligns with the absence of competitive polling, fundraising gaps, or notable controversies that could alter the trajectory. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major redistricting shift, or national political realignment could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,279 交易量
$21,279 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
97%
民主党
3%
$21,279 交易量
$21,279 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$13,578 交易量
97%
民主党
$7,702 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Meuser, the Republican incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district for the November 2026 general election due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. Meuser advanced easily through the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged from a low-profile Democratic contest in a district long considered solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.7% for the Republican nominee aligns with the absence of competitive polling, fundraising gaps, or notable controversies that could alter the trajectory. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major redistricting shift, or national political realignment could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$21,279结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Meuser, the Republican incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district for the November 2026 general election due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. Meuser advanced easily through the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged from a low-profile Democratic contest in a district long considered solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.7% for the Republican nominee aligns with the absence of competitive polling, fundraising gaps, or notable controversies that could alter the trajectory. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major redistricting shift, or national political realignment could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,279结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Meuser, the Republican incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district for the November 2026 general election due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. Meuser advanced easily through the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged from a low-profile Democratic contest in a district long considered solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.7% for the Republican nominee aligns with the absence of competitive polling, fundraising gaps, or notable controversies that could alter the trajectory. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major redistricting shift, or national political realignment could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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