**Rapid revenue expansion and IPO anticipation are driving Polymarket trader consensus on Anthropic’s end-October 2026 valuation.** The company’s annualized run-rate reached over $65 billion by late July, up sharply from $47 billion in May and roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude. This momentum followed the $65 billion Series H round in May that set a $965 billion post-money valuation, with secondary markets subsequently pricing shares at $1.2–1.5 trillion. The leading $2.25 trillion-plus outcome at 49% implied probability reflects optimism around a potential September–October IPO window and sustained growth projections toward $190–200 billion revenue by 2028, while the cluster of $1.25–2.25 trillion ranges captures uncertainty around public-market reception, comparable multiples, and any last-minute catalysts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.25万亿美元以上 51%
5000亿-7500亿美元 48%
1.00-1.25 万亿美元 37%
1.50-1.75万亿美元 30%
低于5000亿美元
23%
5000亿-7500亿美元
25%
7500 亿美元-1 万亿美元
34%
1.00-1.25 万亿美元
37%
1.25-1.50 万亿美元
29%
1.50-1.75万亿美元
30%
1.75-2.00万亿美元
14%
2.00-2.25万亿美元
30%
2.25万亿美元以上
51%
2.25万亿美元以上 51%
5000亿-7500亿美元 48%
1.00-1.25 万亿美元 37%
1.50-1.75万亿美元 30%
低于5000亿美元
23%
5000亿-7500亿美元
25%
7500 亿美元-1 万亿美元
34%
1.00-1.25 万亿美元
37%
1.25-1.50 万亿美元
29%
1.50-1.75万亿美元
30%
1.75-2.00万亿美元
14%
2.00-2.25万亿美元
30%
2.25万亿美元以上
51%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
**Rapid revenue expansion and IPO anticipation are driving Polymarket trader consensus on Anthropic’s end-October 2026 valuation.** The company’s annualized run-rate reached over $65 billion by late July, up sharply from $47 billion in May and roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude. This momentum followed the $65 billion Series H round in May that set a $965 billion post-money valuation, with secondary markets subsequently pricing shares at $1.2–1.5 trillion. The leading $2.25 trillion-plus outcome at 49% implied probability reflects optimism around a potential September–October IPO window and sustained growth projections toward $190–200 billion revenue by 2028, while the cluster of $1.25–2.25 trillion ranges captures uncertainty around public-market reception, comparable multiples, and any last-minute catalysts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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