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安华·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )在担任马来西亚总理之前... ?

icon for 安华·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )在担任马来西亚总理之前... ?

安华·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )在担任马来西亚总理之前... ?

最新
2026-12-31
Polymarket

$69 交易量

Polymarket

2026年7月31日

$69 交易量

27%

2026年9月30日

$0 交易量

50%

2026年12月31日

$0 交易量

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anwar Ibrahim remains Malaysia’s prime minister under the unity government formed after the 2022 election, yet his position faces mounting pressure from coalition fractures, including recent defections and friction with key partners. Johor state polls on 11 July and Negeri Sembilan on 1 August function as early leadership tests whose outcomes could erode parliamentary support or prompt calls for a snap national election before the 2028 deadline. Internal tensions within Pakatan Harapan and the broader alliance, combined with opposition positioning by Islamist parties, have fueled speculation over early polls and cabinet stability following the December 2025 reshuffle. Traders monitor these state results and any parliamentary defections as the main near-term catalysts that could alter the timeline for a leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$69
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anwar Ibrahim remains Malaysia’s prime minister under the unity government formed after the 2022 election, yet his position faces mounting pressure from coalition fractures, including recent defections and friction with key partners. Johor state polls on 11 July and Negeri Sembilan on 1 August function as early leadership tests whose outcomes could erode parliamentary support or prompt calls for a snap national election before the 2028 deadline. Internal tensions within Pakatan Harapan and the broader alliance, combined with opposition positioning by Islamist parties, have fueled speculation over early polls and cabinet stability following the December 2025 reshuffle. Traders monitor these state results and any parliamentary defections as the main near-term catalysts that could alter the timeline for a leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$69
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"安华·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )在担任马来西亚总理之前... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日",概率为 51%,其次是"2026年9月30日",概率为 50%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 51¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 51%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"安华·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )在担任马来西亚总理之前... ?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 25, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"安华·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )在担任马来西亚总理之前... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"安华·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )在担任马来西亚总理之前... ?"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日",概率为 51%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 51%。紧随其后的结果是"2026年9月30日",概率为 50%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"安华·易卜拉欣( Anwar Ibrahim )在担任马来西亚总理之前... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。