Persistent upside risks to UK inflation from volatile energy prices amid Middle East conflict have driven the 85% market-implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026. At its September 2026 meeting, the MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% by a 6-3 vote, with three members favoring a 25 basis point increase, citing inflation rising to 3.1% in August and projected to exceed 4% in early 2027. Recent communications highlight greater upside risks to the inflation outlook relative to prior projections, with market curves now pricing in potential tightening at the November or December meetings. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and the next MPC decisions for confirmation of policy tightening before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
85% 概率
$56,521 交易量
$56,521 交易量
2026-12-31
是
85% 概率
$56,521 交易量
$56,521 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent upside risks to UK inflation from volatile energy prices amid Middle East conflict have driven the 85% market-implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026. At its September 2026 meeting, the MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% by a 6-3 vote, with three members favoring a 25 basis point increase, citing inflation rising to 3.1% in August and projected to exceed 4% in early 2027. Recent communications highlight greater upside risks to the inflation outlook relative to prior projections, with market curves now pricing in potential tightening at the November or December meetings. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and the next MPC decisions for confirmation of policy tightening before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
交易量
$56,521结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent upside risks to UK inflation from volatile energy prices amid Middle East conflict have driven the 85% market-implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026. At its September 2026 meeting, the MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% by a 6-3 vote, with three members favoring a 25 basis point increase, citing inflation rising to 3.1% in August and projected to exceed 4% in early 2027. Recent communications highlight greater upside risks to the inflation outlook relative to prior projections, with market curves now pricing in potential tightening at the November or December meetings. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and the next MPC decisions for confirmation of policy tightening before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$56,521结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETPersistent upside risks to UK inflation from volatile energy prices amid Middle East conflict have driven the 85% market-implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026. At its September 2026 meeting, the MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% by a 6-3 vote, with three members favoring a 25 basis point increase, citing inflation rising to 3.1% in August and projected to exceed 4% in early 2027. Recent communications highlight greater upside risks to the inflation outlook relative to prior projections, with market curves now pricing in potential tightening at the November or December meetings. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and the next MPC decisions for confirmation of policy tightening before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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