Traders assign an 80.5% implied probability to a Bank of England rate hike in 2026 primarily because March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3%, driven by surging energy prices from the Middle East conflict. The Bank’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report highlighted upside risks to second-round wage and price effects, prompting a state-contingent policy stance that could shift toward tightening if oil prices remain elevated. With Bank Rate held at 3.75% and the labor market already loosening, market pricing now embeds roughly 60 basis points of hikes by year-end, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in real-money prediction markets. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI data and the June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, where fresh inflation and growth figures could reinforce or temper these expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$27,800 交易量
$27,800 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$27,800 交易量
$27,800 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 80.5% implied probability to a Bank of England rate hike in 2026 primarily because March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3%, driven by surging energy prices from the Middle East conflict. The Bank’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report highlighted upside risks to second-round wage and price effects, prompting a state-contingent policy stance that could shift toward tightening if oil prices remain elevated. With Bank Rate held at 3.75% and the labor market already loosening, market pricing now embeds roughly 60 basis points of hikes by year-end, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in real-money prediction markets. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI data and the June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, where fresh inflation and growth figures could reinforce or temper these expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
交易量
$27,800结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 80.5% implied probability to a Bank of England rate hike in 2026 primarily because March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3%, driven by surging energy prices from the Middle East conflict. The Bank’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report highlighted upside risks to second-round wage and price effects, prompting a state-contingent policy stance that could shift toward tightening if oil prices remain elevated. With Bank Rate held at 3.75% and the labor market already loosening, market pricing now embeds roughly 60 basis points of hikes by year-end, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in real-money prediction markets. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI data and the June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, where fresh inflation and growth figures could reinforce or temper these expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,800结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 80.5% implied probability to a Bank of England rate hike in 2026 primarily because March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3%, driven by surging energy prices from the Middle East conflict. The Bank’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report highlighted upside risks to second-round wage and price effects, prompting a state-contingent policy stance that could shift toward tightening if oil prices remain elevated. With Bank Rate held at 3.75% and the labor market already loosening, market pricing now embeds roughly 60 basis points of hikes by year-end, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in real-money prediction markets. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI data and the June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, where fresh inflation and growth figures could reinforce or temper these expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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