Recent Bank of Israel actions, including the widely anticipated 25 basis point reduction to 3.75% in May, have shaped trader views ahead of the August decision, with inflation holding steady at 1.9% in April near the midpoint of the 1-3% target range. Geopolitical uncertainty remains elevated following regional operations, even as the shekel strengthened and early economic indicators point to a modest Q1 contraction followed by recovery. Market-implied odds show a tight contest between a further 25 basis point cut and no change, underscoring how incoming CPI prints, labor market data, and any July meeting signals on the policy path could shift the balance. Aggregated trader positions price in these crosscurrents without assuming a guaranteed easing cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于降息25个基点 49%
不变 47%
降息50个基点以上 21%
加息25个基点 21%
降息50个基点以上
21%
降息25个基点
49%
不变
47%
加息25个基点
21%
加息50个基点以上
20%
降息25个基点 49%
不变 47%
降息50个基点以上 21%
加息25个基点 21%
降息50个基点以上
21%
降息25个基点
49%
不变
47%
加息25个基点
21%
加息50个基点以上
20%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Israel actions, including the widely anticipated 25 basis point reduction to 3.75% in May, have shaped trader views ahead of the August decision, with inflation holding steady at 1.9% in April near the midpoint of the 1-3% target range. Geopolitical uncertainty remains elevated following regional operations, even as the shekel strengthened and early economic indicators point to a modest Q1 contraction followed by recovery. Market-implied odds show a tight contest between a further 25 basis point cut and no change, underscoring how incoming CPI prints, labor market data, and any July meeting signals on the policy path could shift the balance. Aggregated trader positions price in these crosscurrents without assuming a guaranteed easing cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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