Recent moderation in Canadian headline CPI, which eased to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026 from 3.2% in May amid sharply lower gasoline prices, has reinforced trader expectations for annual average inflation near the Bank of Canada’s updated 2.5% projection for the full year. The July Monetary Policy Report highlighted elevated near-term pressures from earlier energy price spikes but little change to the medium-term outlook of gradual easing toward the 2% target, with core measures already at multi-year lows. Consensus forecasts cluster around 2.5–2.6%, supporting the 39.9% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% band while leaving scope for modest upside from persistent shelter costs or downside if growth remains subdued. The August 17 CPI release and September BoC decision represent near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.5–2.9% 39.9%
2.0–2.4% 18.7%
3.0-3.4% 14.5%
1.5–1.9% 13.7%
$38,063 交易量
$38,063 交易量
2027-01-18
低于1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
14%
2.0–2.4%
19%
2.5–2.9%
40%
3.0-3.4%
15%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%及以上
3%
2.5–2.9% 39.9%
2.0–2.4% 18.7%
3.0-3.4% 14.5%
1.5–1.9% 13.7%
$38,063 交易量
$38,063 交易量
2027-01-18
低于1.0%
$1,081 交易量
3%
1.0–1.4%
$5,268 交易量
5%
1.5–1.9%
$3,350 交易量
14%
2.0–2.4%
$1,066 交易量
19%
2.5–2.9%
$9,552 交易量
40%
3.0-3.4%
$13,753 交易量
15%
3.5-3.9%
$3,511 交易量
13%
4.0%及以上
$482 交易量
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent moderation in Canadian headline CPI, which eased to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026 from 3.2% in May amid sharply lower gasoline prices, has reinforced trader expectations for annual average inflation near the Bank of Canada’s updated 2.5% projection for the full year. The July Monetary Policy Report highlighted elevated near-term pressures from earlier energy price spikes but little change to the medium-term outlook of gradual easing toward the 2% target, with core measures already at multi-year lows. Consensus forecasts cluster around 2.5–2.6%, supporting the 39.9% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% band while leaving scope for modest upside from persistent shelter costs or downside if growth remains subdued. The August 17 CPI release and September BoC decision represent near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$38,063结束日期
2027-01-18市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent moderation in Canadian headline CPI, which eased to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026 from 3.2% in May amid sharply lower gasoline prices, has reinforced trader expectations for annual average inflation near the Bank of Canada’s updated 2.5% projection for the full year. The July Monetary Policy Report highlighted elevated near-term pressures from earlier energy price spikes but little change to the medium-term outlook of gradual easing toward the 2% target, with core measures already at multi-year lows. Consensus forecasts cluster around 2.5–2.6%, supporting the 39.9% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% band while leaving scope for modest upside from persistent shelter costs or downside if growth remains subdued. The August 17 CPI release and September BoC decision represent near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
交易量
$38,063结束日期
2027-01-18市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent moderation in Canadian headline CPI, which eased to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026 from 3.2% in May amid sharply lower gasoline prices, has reinforced trader expectations for annual average inflation near the Bank of Canada’s updated 2.5% projection for the full year. The July Monetary Policy Report highlighted elevated near-term pressures from earlier energy price spikes but little change to the medium-term outlook of gradual easing toward the 2% target, with core measures already at multi-year lows. Consensus forecasts cluster around 2.5–2.6%, supporting the 39.9% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% band while leaving scope for modest upside from persistent shelter costs or downside if growth remains subdued. The August 17 CPI release and September BoC decision represent near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题