Recent June 2026 CPI data showing a 2.8% year-over-year rate, down from 3.2% in May amid softer gasoline and food prices, anchors trader positioning for Canada’s full-year 2026 inflation. Bank of Canada July projections highlight temporary upward pressure from Middle East-linked oil prices offset by economic slack and easing core measures near the 2% target, supporting the 39.9% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% band. Subdued growth, stable shelter costs, and BoC policy holds reinforce expectations that headline volatility will not sustain above 3%, while downside risks from weaker demand keep lower bins less favored despite long-term forecasts near 2.2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.5–2.9% 39.9%
2.0–2.4% 18.7%
3.0-3.4% 15.2%
1.5–1.9% 14.2%
$38,063 交易量
$38,063 交易量
低于1.0%
2%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
14%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
40%
3.0-3.4%
15%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%及以上
4%
2.5–2.9% 39.9%
2.0–2.4% 18.7%
3.0-3.4% 15.2%
1.5–1.9% 14.2%
$38,063 交易量
$38,063 交易量
低于1.0%
2%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
14%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
40%
3.0-3.4%
15%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%及以上
4%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市场开放时间: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent June 2026 CPI data showing a 2.8% year-over-year rate, down from 3.2% in May amid softer gasoline and food prices, anchors trader positioning for Canada’s full-year 2026 inflation. Bank of Canada July projections highlight temporary upward pressure from Middle East-linked oil prices offset by economic slack and easing core measures near the 2% target, supporting the 39.9% implied probability on the 2.5–2.9% band. Subdued growth, stable shelter costs, and BoC policy holds reinforce expectations that headline volatility will not sustain above 3%, while downside risks from weaker demand keep lower bins less favored despite long-term forecasts near 2.2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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