OpenAI maintains strong uptime for its ChatGPT large language model, with the status page reporting 99.66% availability for ChatGPT components and 99.94% for APIs as of early August 2026. Minor resolved incidents, including elevated errors with image generation, file conversations, and custom GPT actions on August 5–6, have kept recent downtime brief and non-disruptive. A more significant worldwide outage on July 25 affected logins, chats, and the API for under an hour, highlighting ongoing infrastructure scaling pressures amid rapid user growth and feature expansions. Traders weigh this pattern of quick recoveries against potential risks from high traffic, model updates, or competitive alternatives like Claude or Gemini, with upcoming developer announcements or usage spikes as key swing factors for near-term outage probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日
14%
8月8日
12%
8月9日
6%
8月10日
15%
8月11日
19%
8月12日
12%
8月13日
13%
8月14日
13%
$1,549 交易量
8月7日
14%
8月8日
12%
8月9日
6%
8月10日
15%
8月11日
19%
8月12日
12%
8月13日
13%
8月14日
13%
ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI maintains strong uptime for its ChatGPT large language model, with the status page reporting 99.66% availability for ChatGPT components and 99.94% for APIs as of early August 2026. Minor resolved incidents, including elevated errors with image generation, file conversations, and custom GPT actions on August 5–6, have kept recent downtime brief and non-disruptive. A more significant worldwide outage on July 25 affected logins, chats, and the API for under an hour, highlighting ongoing infrastructure scaling pressures amid rapid user growth and feature expansions. Traders weigh this pattern of quick recoveries against potential risks from high traffic, model updates, or competitive alternatives like Claude or Gemini, with upcoming developer announcements or usage spikes as key swing factors for near-term outage probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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