The 50% implied probability for a hole in one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship reflects balanced trader views on Wentworth's West Course, where the par-3 14th has long been a prime target for aces amid a strong DP World Tour field including Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and defending champion Alex Noren. Soft conditions from recent rain can aid holding approaches on the signature hole, boosting chances across four rounds and a 144-player roster, yet variable winds, firming greens, and pin placements introduce uncertainty. Historical precedent shows multiple aces in some editions and none on the 14th in others, keeping the outcome evenly poised ahead of Thursday's start.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于>99% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-20
>99% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-20
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The 50% implied probability for a hole in one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship reflects balanced trader views on Wentworth's West Course, where the par-3 14th has long been a prime target for aces amid a strong DP World Tour field including Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and defending champion Alex Noren. Soft conditions from recent rain can aid holding approaches on the signature hole, boosting chances across four rounds and a 144-player roster, yet variable winds, firming greens, and pin placements introduce uncertainty. Historical precedent shows multiple aces in some editions and none on the 14th in others, keeping the outcome evenly poised ahead of Thursday's start.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The 50% implied probability for a hole in one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship reflects balanced trader views on Wentworth's West Course, where the par-3 14th has long been a prime target for aces amid a strong DP World Tour field including Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and defending champion Alex Noren. Soft conditions from recent rain can aid holding approaches on the signature hole, boosting chances across four rounds and a 144-player roster, yet variable winds, firming greens, and pin placements introduce uncertainty. Historical precedent shows multiple aces in some editions and none on the 14th in others, keeping the outcome evenly poised ahead of Thursday's start.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ETThe 50% implied probability for a hole in one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship reflects balanced trader views on Wentworth's West Course, where the par-3 14th has long been a prime target for aces amid a strong DP World Tour field including Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and defending champion Alex Noren. Soft conditions from recent rain can aid holding approaches on the signature hole, boosting chances across four rounds and a 144-player roster, yet variable winds, firming greens, and pin placements introduce uncertainty. Historical precedent shows multiple aces in some editions and none on the 14th in others, keeping the outcome evenly poised ahead of Thursday's start.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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