Eurozone GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, beating expectations and marking the strongest quarterly gain since early 2025 amid AI-related investment and government spending that offset energy-price pressures. Elevated inflation near 2.8% and geopolitical tensions from Middle East conflicts have kept energy costs high, prompting the ECB to hold policy rates steady at its July meeting while revising 2026 growth forecasts downward to around 0.8%. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 0.8-1.1% growth for Q3, reflecting this moderate momentum and resilient global trade, though weaker consumer confidence and potential further commodity volatility remain key swing factors ahead of the next ECB assessment and August inflation data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.8-1.1% 48%
0.4-0.7% 24%
1.2-1.5% 9%
0.0-0.3% 4.3%
$18,915 交易量
$18,915 交易量
<0.0%
6%
0.0-0.3%
4%
0.4-0.7%
24%
0.8-1.1%
48%
1.2-1.5%
9%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 48%
0.4-0.7% 24%
1.2-1.5% 9%
0.0-0.3% 4.3%
$18,915 交易量
$18,915 交易量
<0.0%
6%
0.0-0.3%
4%
0.4-0.7%
24%
0.8-1.1%
48%
1.2-1.5%
9%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, beating expectations and marking the strongest quarterly gain since early 2025 amid AI-related investment and government spending that offset energy-price pressures. Elevated inflation near 2.8% and geopolitical tensions from Middle East conflicts have kept energy costs high, prompting the ECB to hold policy rates steady at its July meeting while revising 2026 growth forecasts downward to around 0.8%. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 0.8-1.1% growth for Q3, reflecting this moderate momentum and resilient global trade, though weaker consumer confidence and potential further commodity volatility remain key swing factors ahead of the next ECB assessment and August inflation data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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