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icon for Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

icon for Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

$10,486 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$10,486 交易量

Polymarket
icon for June 30

June 30

$2,309 交易量

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Evo Morales remains based in Bolivia’s Cochabamba tropics as of mid-2026, facing active arrest warrants tied to statutory-rape investigations and a longstanding court-ordered travel ban stemming from his failure to appear in proceedings. He has publicly vowed to stay and support ongoing protests against President Rodrigo Paz amid a severe economic downturn, fuel shortages, and weeks of roadblocks and clashes involving Morales-aligned cocalero and union groups. Paz’s government has responded with troop deployments and emergency measures while rejecting calls for early elections or resignation. Historical precedent shows Morales previously left the country only after his 2019 resignation under direct pressure; current conditions center on whether legal enforcement, health developments, or shifting protest dynamics could prompt another departure before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,486
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Evo Morales remains based in Bolivia’s Cochabamba tropics as of mid-2026, facing active arrest warrants tied to statutory-rape investigations and a longstanding court-ordered travel ban stemming from his failure to appear in proceedings. He has publicly vowed to stay and support ongoing protests against President Rodrigo Paz amid a severe economic downturn, fuel shortages, and weeks of roadblocks and clashes involving Morales-aligned cocalero and union groups. Paz’s government has responded with troop deployments and emergency measures while rejecting calls for early elections or resignation. Historical precedent shows Morales previously left the country only after his 2019 resignation under direct pressure; current conditions center on whether legal enforcement, health developments, or shifting protest dynamics could prompt another departure before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,486
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"June 30",概率为 16%,其次是"May 31",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 16¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 16%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?"已产生 $10.5K 的总交易量(自May 21, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?"的当前领先者是"June 30",概率为 16%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 16%。紧随其后的结果是"May 31",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。