Mercedes leads trader consensus at 56.2% for the Spanish Grand Prix constructor win due to Kimi Antonelli’s front-row qualifying pace at the new Madring circuit and the team’s strong hybrid performance under 2026 power-unit rules. Recent form, including multiple victories this season, reinforces this positioning ahead of McLaren and Red Bull. TGR Haas sits at 44.5% following targeted aero upgrades that improved their midfield competitiveness and circuit-specific fit for the technical Madrid layout. Red Bull, Racing Bulls, Audi, McLaren, and Alpine cluster in the mid-20s amid closely matched machinery and variable strategy impacts from the debut venue’s overtaking and tire demands. Lower-priced options like Aston Martin, Williams, Cadillac, and Ferrari reflect limited recent pace or reliability concerns that limit their implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Mercedes 100.0%
Alpine <1%
Aston Martin <1%
Williams <1%
$3,028 交易量
$3,028 交易量
Alpine
No
Aston Martin
No
Williams
No
Audi Revolut
No
Cadillac
No
Ferrari
No
Tgr Haas
No
Mclaren Mastercard
No
Mercedes
Yes
Red Bull
No
Racing Bulls
No
Mercedes 100.0%
Alpine <1%
Aston Martin <1%
Williams <1%
$3,028 交易量
$3,028 交易量
Alpine
No
Aston Martin
No
Williams
No
Audi Revolut
No
Cadillac
No
Ferrari
No
Tgr Haas
No
Mclaren Mastercard
No
Mercedes
Yes
Red Bull
No
Racing Bulls
No
For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Mercedes leads trader consensus at 56.2% for the Spanish Grand Prix constructor win due to Kimi Antonelli’s front-row qualifying pace at the new Madring circuit and the team’s strong hybrid performance under 2026 power-unit rules. Recent form, including multiple victories this season, reinforces this positioning ahead of McLaren and Red Bull. TGR Haas sits at 44.5% following targeted aero upgrades that improved their midfield competitiveness and circuit-specific fit for the technical Madrid layout. Red Bull, Racing Bulls, Audi, McLaren, and Alpine cluster in the mid-20s amid closely matched machinery and variable strategy impacts from the debut venue’s overtaking and tire demands. Lower-priced options like Aston Martin, Williams, Cadillac, and Ferrari reflect limited recent pace or reliability concerns that limit their implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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