Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,879 交易量
$13,879 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
$13,879 交易量
$13,879 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,382 交易量
83%
民主党
$6,506 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$13,879结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,879结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题