Recent CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance through mid-May shows cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rates climbing gradually to 86.3 per 100,000 by Week 18, consistent with a moderately severe 2025-2026 season driven by dominant H3N2 circulation and typical winter peaks. As activity declines sharply in late spring, with weekly rates near 0.2 per 100,000, the cumulative figure for Week 22 is expected to settle in the 85-90 band. This market-implied outcome reflects trader consensus on seasonal patterns and official data trends. A realistic challenge would require substantial late-season case revisions or reporting delays pushing the rate outside that narrow window, though current epidemiological indicators make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
85–90 98.4%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
90–95 <1%
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
98%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.4%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
90–95 <1%
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
98%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市场开放时间: Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance through mid-May shows cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rates climbing gradually to 86.3 per 100,000 by Week 18, consistent with a moderately severe 2025-2026 season driven by dominant H3N2 circulation and typical winter peaks. As activity declines sharply in late spring, with weekly rates near 0.2 per 100,000, the cumulative figure for Week 22 is expected to settle in the 85-90 band. This market-implied outcome reflects trader consensus on seasonal patterns and official data trends. A realistic challenge would require substantial late-season case revisions or reporting delays pushing the rate outside that narrow window, though current epidemiological indicators make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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