CDC surveillance data through Week 22 show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate at 87.5 per 100,000 population, with weekly rates already down to 0.1 per 100,000 amid typical summer lows. Official FluView and FluSight ensemble forecasts confirm minimal new laboratory-confirmed admissions nationally through mid-June, keeping the final Week 23 cumulative figure firmly inside the 85–90 band. Market-implied odds of 95.2% for that range reflect traders’ assessment of these stable, low-activity conditions and historical off-season patterns. Only substantial late revisions to prior weeks’ counts or an anomalous June uptick—both considered remote—would shift the outcome into adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 97.2%
90–95 4.5%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
97%
90–95
4%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 97.2%
90–95 4.5%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
97%
90–95
4%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...CDC surveillance data through Week 22 show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate at 87.5 per 100,000 population, with weekly rates already down to 0.1 per 100,000 amid typical summer lows. Official FluView and FluSight ensemble forecasts confirm minimal new laboratory-confirmed admissions nationally through mid-June, keeping the final Week 23 cumulative figure firmly inside the 85–90 band. Market-implied odds of 95.2% for that range reflect traders’ assessment of these stable, low-activity conditions and historical off-season patterns. Only substantial late revisions to prior weeks’ counts or an anomalous June uptick—both considered remote—would shift the outcome into adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题