**Flu activity in the US follows a strong seasonal pattern, with influenza-associated hospitalization rates from CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance typically dropping to minimal levels by late spring and summer.** Week 32 (roughly early August) falls well outside the traditional October–May season, when respiratory virus circulation is low due to warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding. Historical FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates declining sharply after March–April peaks, often reaching 0.1–0.2 per 100,000 or below by May–August, consistent with the 2025 Week 32 observation of 0.2. The 2025–2026 season featured elevated activity (peaking near 12.6 per 100,000 in late December/early January with cumulative rates among the highest in recent years), but reports through May 2026 already showed rates at or below 0.1–0.3, with continued downward trends expected into summer absent any atypical outbreak. No unusual summer circulation or variant-driven resurgence has been reported. Traders therefore assign overwhelming implied probability to an outcome below 0.1, reflecting both climatological and epidemiological precedent plus the absence of any signals that would push rates higher by early August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年第32周流感住院率？
2026年第32周流感住院率？
<0.1 77%
0.1 19%
>0.1 <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
<0.1
77%
0.1
12%
>0.1
9%
<0.1 77%
0.1 19%
>0.1 <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
<0.1
$858 交易量
77%
0.1
$141 交易量
12%
>0.1
$223 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Flu activity in the US follows a strong seasonal pattern, with influenza-associated hospitalization rates from CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance typically dropping to minimal levels by late spring and summer.** Week 32 (roughly early August) falls well outside the traditional October–May season, when respiratory virus circulation is low due to warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding. Historical FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates declining sharply after March–April peaks, often reaching 0.1–0.2 per 100,000 or below by May–August, consistent with the 2025 Week 32 observation of 0.2.
The 2025–2026 season featured elevated activity (peaking near 12.6 per 100,000 in late December/early January with cumulative rates among the highest in recent years), but reports through May 2026 already showed rates at or below 0.1–0.3, with continued downward trends expected into summer absent any atypical outbreak. No unusual summer circulation or variant-driven resurgence has been reported. Traders therefore assign overwhelming implied probability to an outcome below 0.1, reflecting both climatological and epidemiological precedent plus the absence of any signals that would push rates higher by early August.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,223结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Flu activity in the US follows a strong seasonal pattern, with influenza-associated hospitalization rates from CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance typically dropping to minimal levels by late spring and summer.** Week 32 (roughly early August) falls well outside the traditional October–May season, when respiratory virus circulation is low due to warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding. Historical FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates declining sharply after March–April peaks, often reaching 0.1–0.2 per 100,000 or below by May–August, consistent with the 2025 Week 32 observation of 0.2.
The 2025–2026 season featured elevated activity (peaking near 12.6 per 100,000 in late December/early January with cumulative rates among the highest in recent years), but reports through May 2026 already showed rates at or below 0.1–0.3, with continued downward trends expected into summer absent any atypical outbreak. No unusual summer circulation or variant-driven resurgence has been reported. Traders therefore assign overwhelming implied probability to an outcome below 0.1, reflecting both climatological and epidemiological precedent plus the absence of any signals that would push rates higher by early August.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$1,223结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Flu activity in the US follows a strong seasonal pattern, with influenza-associated hospitalization rates from CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance typically dropping to minimal levels by late spring and summer.** Week 32 (roughly early August) falls well outside the traditional October–May season, when respiratory virus circulation is low due to warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding. Historical FluSurv-NET data show weekly rates declining sharply after March–April peaks, often reaching 0.1–0.2 per 100,000 or below by May–August, consistent with the 2025 Week 32 observation of 0.2. The 2025–2026 season featured elevated activity (peaking near 12.6 per 100,000 in late December/early January with cumulative rates among the highest in recent years), but reports through May 2026 already showed rates at or below 0.1–0.3, with continued downward trends expected into summer absent any atypical outbreak. No unusual summer circulation or variant-driven resurgence has been reported. Traders therefore assign overwhelming implied probability to an outcome below 0.1, reflecting both climatological and epidemiological precedent plus the absence of any signals that would push rates higher by early August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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