State Rep. Jasmine Clark commands trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by Rep. David Scott's death on April 22 that opened the safe Democratic seat to a crowded field. Clark, a PhD microbiologist who flipped a Republican state House seat, has consolidated support through a $300,000 ad campaign from 314 Action Fund launched May 5 and backing from Indivisible, amid record early voting turnout favoring Democrats. Everton Blair Jr., an educator and former Gwinnett School Board chair, trails at 8.5% as the distant challenger, with others under 2%. Late surprises like turnout shifts or scandals could narrow the gap, but current momentum favors Clark's nomination path.