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icon for Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Tech·Gemini 3

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

icon for Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Tech·Gemini 3

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

3月 31

3月 31

$318,389 交易量

2026-02-28
Polymarket

$318,389 交易量

Polymarket

50%+

$87,768 交易量

3%

55%+

$65,386 交易量

3%

60%+

$18,794 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently sits at 44.7% on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question benchmark testing expert-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities, trailing Anthropic's leading Claude variants at 53.3%. Recent gains from the 37.5% posted by Gemini 3 Pro in late 2025 reflect iterative improvements in reasoning capabilities and test-time scaling, yet Anthropic's edge stems from stronger adaptive techniques on this saturated frontier benchmark. With the June 30 deadline approaching, any unannounced Gemini preview or official update could shift scores, while competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 series adds uncertainty around further leaderboard movement before resolution. Traders monitor Google DeepMind announcements for signs of rapid iteration that might close the gap.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
交易量
$318,389
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently sits at 44.7% on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question benchmark testing expert-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities, trailing Anthropic's leading Claude variants at 53.3%. Recent gains from the 37.5% posted by Gemini 3 Pro in late 2025 reflect iterative improvements in reasoning capabilities and test-time scaling, yet Anthropic's edge stems from stronger adaptive techniques on this saturated frontier benchmark. With the June 30 deadline approaching, any unannounced Gemini preview or official update could shift scores, while competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 series adds uncertainty around further leaderboard movement before resolution. Traders monitor Google DeepMind announcements for signs of rapid iteration that might close the gap.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
交易量
$318,389
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"40%+"，概率为 100%，其次是"45%+"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?"已产生 $318.4K 的总交易量（自Jan 29, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?"的当前领先者是"40%+"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"45%+"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。