Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day as 2026's highest-grossing film at 67% implied probability, propelled by its record-shattering trailer views in late March and robust presales tracking that project a $1.1 billion domestic haul from its prime July 31 summer slot. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14.5% despite industry buzz like Bloomberg forecasts, as its December release risks holiday competition and MCU fatigue concerns. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's real-world $941 million global tally to date—solid but below predecessor benchmarks—caps its upside at 5%, while Toy Story 5 (3.5%) builds anticipation ahead of June. Watch Spider-Man early buzz and Toy Story previews for potential shifts in this volatile box office race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年票房最高的电影?
2026年票房最高的电影?
蜘蛛侠:全新一天 67%
复仇者联盟:末日审判 15%
超级马里奥银河电影 5.1%
玩具总动员5 3.5%
$6,717,115 交易量
$6,717,115 交易量
蜘蛛侠:全新一天
67%
复仇者联盟:末日审判
15%
超级马里奥银河电影
5%
玩具总动员5
4%
奥德赛
3%
迈克尔
1%
星球大战:曼达洛人和格罗古
1%
沙丘:弥赛亚
1%
魔法坏女巫:为善
1%
呼啸山庄
1%
勇敢者游戏3
1%
饥饿游戏:收获的黎明
<1%
海尔·玛丽计划
<1%
惊声尖叫7
<1%
蜘蛛侠:全新一天 67%
复仇者联盟:末日审判 15%
超级马里奥银河电影 5.1%
玩具总动员5 3.5%
$6,717,115 交易量
$6,717,115 交易量
蜘蛛侠:全新一天
67%
复仇者联盟:末日审判
15%
超级马里奥银河电影
5%
玩具总动员5
4%
奥德赛
3%
迈克尔
1%
星球大战:曼达洛人和格罗古
1%
沙丘:弥赛亚
1%
魔法坏女巫:为善
1%
呼啸山庄
1%
勇敢者游戏3
1%
饥饿游戏:收获的黎明
<1%
海尔·玛丽计划
<1%
惊声尖叫7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day as 2026's highest-grossing film at 67% implied probability, propelled by its record-shattering trailer views in late March and robust presales tracking that project a $1.1 billion domestic haul from its prime July 31 summer slot. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14.5% despite industry buzz like Bloomberg forecasts, as its December release risks holiday competition and MCU fatigue concerns. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's real-world $941 million global tally to date—solid but below predecessor benchmarks—caps its upside at 5%, while Toy Story 5 (3.5%) builds anticipation ahead of June. Watch Spider-Man early buzz and Toy Story previews for potential shifts in this volatile box office race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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