Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月12日安卡拉的最高温度？
7月12日安卡拉的最高温度？
31°C 36%
32°C 35%
30°C 15%
33°C 11.3%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
36%
32°C
35%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 35%
30°C 15%
33°C 11.3%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
27°C or below
$181 交易量
<1%
28°C
$86 交易量
2%
29°C
$71 交易量
3%
30°C
$51 交易量
15%
31°C
$171 交易量
36%
32°C
$59 交易量
35%
33°C
$233 交易量
11%
34°C
$149 交易量
1%
35°C
$157 交易量
1%
36°C
$31 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$253 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,443结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,443结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题