Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 100s°F across Austin on August 26, with National Weather Service forecasts centering on 103–105°F amid an ongoing Heat Advisory. Recent model consensus and observations from the prior week of triple-digit readings, including record 107°F readings at Camp Mabry, reinforce trader focus on the 102–105°F bins, where small differences in afternoon mixing, dewpoint trends, or subtle steering flow could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Urban heat island effects and light southerly winds further elevate surface readings relative to rural analogs, while any late-day convection remains unlikely to cap the high before official measurement. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月26日奥斯汀的最高温度？
104-105°F 43%
102-103°F 40%
106-107°F 14%
100-101°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
40%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
7%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 43%
102-103°F 40%
106-107°F 14%
100-101°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
95°F or below
$0 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$30 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$295 交易量
2%
100-101°F
$63 交易量
10%
102-103°F
$159 交易量
40%
104-105°F
$183 交易量
43%
106-107°F
$97 交易量
14%
108-109°F
$5 交易量
7%
110-111°F
$35 交易量
<1%
112-113°F
$30 交易量
<1%
114°F or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 100s°F across Austin on August 26, with National Weather Service forecasts centering on 103–105°F amid an ongoing Heat Advisory. Recent model consensus and observations from the prior week of triple-digit readings, including record 107°F readings at Camp Mabry, reinforce trader focus on the 102–105°F bins, where small differences in afternoon mixing, dewpoint trends, or subtle steering flow could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Urban heat island effects and light southerly winds further elevate surface readings relative to rural analogs, while any late-day convection remains unlikely to cap the high before official measurement. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$928结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 100s°F across Austin on August 26, with National Weather Service forecasts centering on 103–105°F amid an ongoing Heat Advisory. Recent model consensus and observations from the prior week of triple-digit readings, including record 107°F readings at Camp Mabry, reinforce trader focus on the 102–105°F bins, where small differences in afternoon mixing, dewpoint trends, or subtle steering flow could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Urban heat island effects and light southerly winds further elevate surface readings relative to rural analogs, while any late-day convection remains unlikely to cap the high before official measurement. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$928结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETPersistent high pressure over the southern Plains and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances support peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 100s°F across Austin on August 26, with National Weather Service forecasts centering on 103–105°F amid an ongoing Heat Advisory. Recent model consensus and observations from the prior week of triple-digit readings, including record 107°F readings at Camp Mabry, reinforce trader focus on the 102–105°F bins, where small differences in afternoon mixing, dewpoint trends, or subtle steering flow could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Urban heat island effects and light southerly winds further elevate surface readings relative to rural analogs, while any late-day convection remains unlikely to cap the high before official measurement. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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