Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate a daytime high of 16–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 28 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and building high pressure following Thursday’s instability and showers. This setup favors modest afternoon warming to near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of ~16–18°C at official stations, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions supporting peak readings in the upper teens. Trader consensus centering on 19–20°C (combined ~83% implied probability) reflects model runs showing localized daytime heating under these stable easterlies, while lower-probability 21°C+ outcomes remain possible only if insolation exceeds expectations or if the measurement station records a brief spike. Upcoming official hourly observations will resolve the market as temperatures crest mid-afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
20°C 48%
19°C 38%
21°C 10%
18°C 5%
$10,809 交易量
$10,809 交易量
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
38%
20°C
48%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 48%
19°C 38%
21°C 10%
18°C 5%
$10,809 交易量
$10,809 交易量
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
38%
20°C
48%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate a daytime high of 16–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 28 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and building high pressure following Thursday’s instability and showers. This setup favors modest afternoon warming to near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of ~16–18°C at official stations, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions supporting peak readings in the upper teens. Trader consensus centering on 19–20°C (combined ~83% implied probability) reflects model runs showing localized daytime heating under these stable easterlies, while lower-probability 21°C+ outcomes remain possible only if insolation exceeds expectations or if the measurement station records a brief spike. Upcoming official hourly observations will resolve the market as temperatures crest mid-afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题