**Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, reinforced by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35°C as the dominant market outcome for Busan’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026.** The Korea Meteorological Administration maintains heatwave warnings and emergency alerts for Busan districts, reflecting sustained daytime solar heating under minimal cloud cover and warm, humid southerly flow. Regional observations, including nearby stations exceeding 38–42°C in recent days, align with elevated sea-surface temperatures that suppress nocturnal cooling and support tropical-night patterns. These factors have shifted the daily maximum well above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent trends favor a peak near 35°C, with 36°C remaining plausible if insolation peaks higher than expected; outcomes above 37°C carry low implied probability given current steering patterns and the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Market pricing aggregates trader assessment of these official forecasts and real-time observational updates ahead of KMA’s final daily high determination.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日釜山气温最高？
8月5日釜山气温最高？
35°C 95%
36°C 4%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$30,840 交易量
$30,840 交易量
2026-08-05
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
95%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
35°C 95%
36°C 4%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$30,840 交易量
$30,840 交易量
2026-08-05
30°C或以下
$631 交易量
<1%
31°C
$764 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,841 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5,746 交易量
<1%
34°C
$6,898 交易量
<1%
35°C
$3,548 交易量
95%
36°C
$4,313 交易量
4%
37°C
$2,871 交易量
1%
38°C
$2,856 交易量
<1%
39°C
$710 交易量
<1%
40°C或以上
$662 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, reinforced by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35°C as the dominant market outcome for Busan’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026.**
The Korea Meteorological Administration maintains heatwave warnings and emergency alerts for Busan districts, reflecting sustained daytime solar heating under minimal cloud cover and warm, humid southerly flow. Regional observations, including nearby stations exceeding 38–42°C in recent days, align with elevated sea-surface temperatures that suppress nocturnal cooling and support tropical-night patterns. These factors have shifted the daily maximum well above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent trends favor a peak near 35°C, with 36°C remaining plausible if insolation peaks higher than expected; outcomes above 37°C carry low implied probability given current steering patterns and the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Market pricing aggregates trader assessment of these official forecasts and real-time observational updates ahead of KMA’s final daily high determination.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$30,840结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, reinforced by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35°C as the dominant market outcome for Busan’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026.**
The Korea Meteorological Administration maintains heatwave warnings and emergency alerts for Busan districts, reflecting sustained daytime solar heating under minimal cloud cover and warm, humid southerly flow. Regional observations, including nearby stations exceeding 38–42°C in recent days, align with elevated sea-surface temperatures that suppress nocturnal cooling and support tropical-night patterns. These factors have shifted the daily maximum well above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent trends favor a peak near 35°C, with 36°C remaining plausible if insolation peaks higher than expected; outcomes above 37°C carry low implied probability given current steering patterns and the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Market pricing aggregates trader assessment of these official forecasts and real-time observational updates ahead of KMA’s final daily high determination.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,840结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET**Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, reinforced by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35°C as the dominant market outcome for Busan’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026.** The Korea Meteorological Administration maintains heatwave warnings and emergency alerts for Busan districts, reflecting sustained daytime solar heating under minimal cloud cover and warm, humid southerly flow. Regional observations, including nearby stations exceeding 38–42°C in recent days, align with elevated sea-surface temperatures that suppress nocturnal cooling and support tropical-night patterns. These factors have shifted the daily maximum well above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent trends favor a peak near 35°C, with 36°C remaining plausible if insolation peaks higher than expected; outcomes above 37°C carry low implied probability given current steering patterns and the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Market pricing aggregates trader assessment of these official forecasts and real-time observational updates ahead of KMA’s final daily high determination.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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