Strong south-easterly winds under high pressure are driving the market toward a mild spring maximum of 18–19 °C on September 17. Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international services, indicate clear skies and dry air advection that should allow daytime temperatures to peak near 17–19 °C at official stations, with limited warm-air advection preventing higher readings. Recent clearing after mid-September showers has stabilized conditions, removing cloud cover that previously capped warming. Trader consensus on 19 °C (64.5 % implied probability) versus 18 °C (25.5 %) reflects minor model spread in afternoon maximums and uncertainty in exact station readings, while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 17 °C given the consistent cool maritime influence and wind mixing. Official observations and any final model runs on the morning of the 17th will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日开普敦气温最高？
9月17日开普敦气温最高？
19°C 66%
18°C 26%
20°C 5%
17°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
26%
19°C
66%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 66%
18°C 26%
20°C 5%
17°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
13°C或以下
$489 交易量
1%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$197 交易量
2%
16°C
$424 交易量
3%
17°C
$914 交易量
3%
18°C
$970 交易量
26%
19°C
$1,405 交易量
66%
20°C
$341 交易量
5%
21°C
$75 交易量
2%
22°C
$30 交易量
2%
23°C或更高
$500 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong south-easterly winds under high pressure are driving the market toward a mild spring maximum of 18–19 °C on September 17. Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international services, indicate clear skies and dry air advection that should allow daytime temperatures to peak near 17–19 °C at official stations, with limited warm-air advection preventing higher readings. Recent clearing after mid-September showers has stabilized conditions, removing cloud cover that previously capped warming. Trader consensus on 19 °C (64.5 % implied probability) versus 18 °C (25.5 %) reflects minor model spread in afternoon maximums and uncertainty in exact station readings, while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 17 °C given the consistent cool maritime influence and wind mixing. Official observations and any final model runs on the morning of the 17th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,345结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong south-easterly winds under high pressure are driving the market toward a mild spring maximum of 18–19 °C on September 17. Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international services, indicate clear skies and dry air advection that should allow daytime temperatures to peak near 17–19 °C at official stations, with limited warm-air advection preventing higher readings. Recent clearing after mid-September showers has stabilized conditions, removing cloud cover that previously capped warming. Trader consensus on 19 °C (64.5 % implied probability) versus 18 °C (25.5 %) reflects minor model spread in afternoon maximums and uncertainty in exact station readings, while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 17 °C given the consistent cool maritime influence and wind mixing. Official observations and any final model runs on the morning of the 17th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,345结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETStrong south-easterly winds under high pressure are driving the market toward a mild spring maximum of 18–19 °C on September 17. Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international services, indicate clear skies and dry air advection that should allow daytime temperatures to peak near 17–19 °C at official stations, with limited warm-air advection preventing higher readings. Recent clearing after mid-September showers has stabilized conditions, removing cloud cover that previously capped warming. Trader consensus on 19 °C (64.5 % implied probability) versus 18 °C (25.5 %) reflects minor model spread in afternoon maximums and uncertainty in exact station readings, while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 17 °C given the consistent cool maritime influence and wind mixing. Official observations and any final model runs on the morning of the 17th will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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