Recent official forecasts for Chengdu indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies on September 20 with highs centered around 25–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds for those outcomes. Persistent Hua Xi Qiu Yu autumn rain patterns across the Sichuan Basin are suppressing daytime solar heating through extensive cloud cover and elevated humidity, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and advection of warmer air. Basin topography further traps moisture, moderating maximum temperatures below late-summer norms. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability in this setup, though any unexpected clearing could allow brief warming toward 28°C or higher. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and refined local guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日成都气温最高?
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
24°C 19%
22°C或以下
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
18%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
24°C 19%
22°C或以下
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
18%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts for Chengdu indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies on September 20 with highs centered around 25–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds for those outcomes. Persistent Hua Xi Qiu Yu autumn rain patterns across the Sichuan Basin are suppressing daytime solar heating through extensive cloud cover and elevated humidity, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and advection of warmer air. Basin topography further traps moisture, moderating maximum temperatures below late-summer norms. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability in this setup, though any unexpected clearing could allow brief warming toward 28°C or higher. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and refined local guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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