Latest official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and global models indicate a daily maximum of 25–26°C on October 16 under widespread cloud cover, intermittent showers, and light northeasterly winds that suppress solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. High humidity near 80–95% and stable pressure further limit afternoon warming compared with clearer autumn days. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because recent model runs show consistent suppression of peaks, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief insolation. Updated runs tonight or early observations of rainfall rates could shift probabilities if clearing or heavier precipitation materializes.