Recent forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to moderating daytime maxima in Lucknow on June 13 amid increasing low-level moisture and patchy cloud cover ahead of the advancing monsoon. This setup favors peak temperatures near 35–36 °C, consistent with the closely matched leading market-implied odds, as reduced insolation and higher humidity limit surface heating compared with the hotter, clearer conditions earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, though any delay in cloud development or stronger westerly flow could allow readings to reach 37 °C; conversely, earlier rainfall would favor the 34 °C or lower outcome. Historical June baselines near 37–39 °C provide context for the current cooler bias.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
36°C 36%
35°C 32%
34°C or below 16%
37°C 14%
34°C or below
16%
35°C
32%
36°C
36%
37°C
14%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
35°C 32%
34°C or below 16%
37°C 14%
34°C or below
16%
35°C
32%
36°C
36%
37°C
14%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to moderating daytime maxima in Lucknow on June 13 amid increasing low-level moisture and patchy cloud cover ahead of the advancing monsoon. This setup favors peak temperatures near 35–36 °C, consistent with the closely matched leading market-implied odds, as reduced insolation and higher humidity limit surface heating compared with the hotter, clearer conditions earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time, though any delay in cloud development or stronger westerly flow could allow readings to reach 37 °C; conversely, earlier rainfall would favor the 34 °C or lower outcome. Historical June baselines near 37–39 °C provide context for the current cooler bias.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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