Forecast models from sources including GFS consistently project a high of 29–31°C in Madrid on August 29 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 30°C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on 31°C (59%) and 30°C (33%) as the leading outcomes while assigning low odds to 32°C or higher. Minimal cloud cover and dry air will support efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling, though small model spread in afternoon peaks introduces modest uncertainty around the exact threshold. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine whether readings edge into the 31°C bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日马德里气温最高？
8月29日马德里气温最高？
31°C 59%
30°C 33%
32°C 8%
29°C 3%
最新
$10,050 交易量
最新
$10,050 交易量
2026-08-29
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
33%
31°C
59%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 59%
30°C 33%
32°C 8%
29°C 3%
最新
$10,050 交易量
最新
$10,050 交易量
2026-08-29
25°C or below
$638 交易量
<1%
26°C
$321 交易量
<1%
27°C
$339 交易量
<1%
28°C
$262 交易量
<1%
29°C
$854 交易量
3%
30°C
$2,631 交易量
33%
31°C
$2,834 交易量
59%
32°C
$1,086 交易量
8%
33°C
$512 交易量
1%
34°C
$305 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$273 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS consistently project a high of 29–31°C in Madrid on August 29 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 30°C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on 31°C (59%) and 30°C (33%) as the leading outcomes while assigning low odds to 32°C or higher. Minimal cloud cover and dry air will support efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling, though small model spread in afternoon peaks introduces modest uncertainty around the exact threshold. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine whether readings edge into the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,050结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS consistently project a high of 29–31°C in Madrid on August 29 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 30°C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on 31°C (59%) and 30°C (33%) as the leading outcomes while assigning low odds to 32°C or higher. Minimal cloud cover and dry air will support efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling, though small model spread in afternoon peaks introduces modest uncertainty around the exact threshold. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine whether readings edge into the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,050结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS consistently project a high of 29–31°C in Madrid on August 29 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 30°C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on 31°C (59%) and 30°C (33%) as the leading outcomes while assigning low odds to 32°C or higher. Minimal cloud cover and dry air will support efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling, though small model spread in afternoon peaks introduces modest uncertainty around the exact threshold. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine whether readings edge into the 31°C bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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