Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private providers indicate a Monday high temperature in New York City most likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 68–71°F bins. A frontal passage on Sunday has established northeasterly flow and persistent cloud cover, suppressing daytime heating below the late-September climatological average near 75°F. Limited insolation, dew points in the 50s–60s, and brisk NNE winds around 10–15 mph further cap the maximum. Minor model spread exists on the precise peak depending on the timing of any afternoon clearing, but the consensus supports the current implied probabilities without strong signals for outliers above 73°F or below 67°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and hourly observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日纽约市的最高温度？
9月21日纽约市的最高温度？
70-71°F 55%
68-69°F 34%
72-73°F 9%
66-67°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
59华氏度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
55%
72-73°F
9%
74-75华氏度
2%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 55%
68-69°F 34%
72-73°F 9%
66-67°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
59华氏度或以下
$531 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$111 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$47 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$162 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$395 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$2,616 交易量
34%
70-71°F
$1,522 交易量
55%
72-73°F
$634 交易量
9%
74-75华氏度
$189 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$282 交易量
<1%
78°F或更高
$31 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private providers indicate a Monday high temperature in New York City most likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 68–71°F bins. A frontal passage on Sunday has established northeasterly flow and persistent cloud cover, suppressing daytime heating below the late-September climatological average near 75°F. Limited insolation, dew points in the 50s–60s, and brisk NNE winds around 10–15 mph further cap the maximum. Minor model spread exists on the precise peak depending on the timing of any afternoon clearing, but the consensus supports the current implied probabilities without strong signals for outliers above 73°F or below 67°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and hourly observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,522结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private providers indicate a Monday high temperature in New York City most likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 68–71°F bins. A frontal passage on Sunday has established northeasterly flow and persistent cloud cover, suppressing daytime heating below the late-September climatological average near 75°F. Limited insolation, dew points in the 50s–60s, and brisk NNE winds around 10–15 mph further cap the maximum. Minor model spread exists on the precise peak depending on the timing of any afternoon clearing, but the consensus supports the current implied probabilities without strong signals for outliers above 73°F or below 67°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and hourly observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,522结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETForecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private providers indicate a Monday high temperature in New York City most likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 68–71°F bins. A frontal passage on Sunday has established northeasterly flow and persistent cloud cover, suppressing daytime heating below the late-September climatological average near 75°F. Limited insolation, dew points in the 50s–60s, and brisk NNE winds around 10–15 mph further cap the maximum. Minor model spread exists on the precise peak depending on the timing of any afternoon clearing, but the consensus supports the current implied probabilities without strong signals for outliers above 73°F or below 67°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and hourly observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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