Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to peak daytime highs in Seoul on June 29 clustering near 27–28°C, driven by variable cloud cover, moderate southeasterly flow, and limited insolation amid early monsoon influences that cap extreme heating. This aligns with historical June maxima of 26–28°C while urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2°C variability that separates the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Traders price in genuine model spread on afternoon convective development and frontal timing rather than a strong warm bias, with fresh model runs and official updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月29日首尔气温最高?
28°C 33%
29°C 26%
27°C 23%
26°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
23%
28°C
33%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
9%
28°C 33%
29°C 26%
27°C 23%
26°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
23%
28°C
33%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to peak daytime highs in Seoul on June 29 clustering near 27–28°C, driven by variable cloud cover, moderate southeasterly flow, and limited insolation amid early monsoon influences that cap extreme heating. This aligns with historical June maxima of 26–28°C while urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2°C variability that separates the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Traders price in genuine model spread on afternoon convective development and frontal timing rather than a strong warm bias, with fresh model runs and official updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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