Current forecast models project Shanghai's September 23 high near 28–29°C amid mostly cloudy skies and easterly winds of 7–10 mph, which limit daytime insolation and moderate surface heating. Dew points around 18–20°C support relative humidity of 60–70%, further capping temperature rise through evaporative cooling and reduced solar absorption. Recent model consensus shows minimal shifts in steering patterns or cloud thickness over the past 48 hours, keeping the 28°C and 29°C outcomes closely matched at 49% and 40% implied probability. Key variables ahead include any late adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing from updated runs by agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日上海气温最高？
9月23日上海气温最高？
28°C 49%
29°C 40%
27°C 7%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
49%
29°C
40%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 40%
27°C 7%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
23°C或以下
$356 交易量
1%
24°C
$68 交易量
1%
25°C
$158 交易量
<1%
26°C
$119 交易量
3%
27°C
$147 交易量
7%
28°C
$291 交易量
49%
29°C
$244 交易量
40%
30°C
$120 交易量
6%
31°C
$13 交易量
2%
32°C
$29 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$176 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project Shanghai's September 23 high near 28–29°C amid mostly cloudy skies and easterly winds of 7–10 mph, which limit daytime insolation and moderate surface heating. Dew points around 18–20°C support relative humidity of 60–70%, further capping temperature rise through evaporative cooling and reduced solar absorption. Recent model consensus shows minimal shifts in steering patterns or cloud thickness over the past 48 hours, keeping the 28°C and 29°C outcomes closely matched at 49% and 40% implied probability. Key variables ahead include any late adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing from updated runs by agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,513结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project Shanghai's September 23 high near 28–29°C amid mostly cloudy skies and easterly winds of 7–10 mph, which limit daytime insolation and moderate surface heating. Dew points around 18–20°C support relative humidity of 60–70%, further capping temperature rise through evaporative cooling and reduced solar absorption. Recent model consensus shows minimal shifts in steering patterns or cloud thickness over the past 48 hours, keeping the 28°C and 29°C outcomes closely matched at 49% and 40% implied probability. Key variables ahead include any late adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing from updated runs by agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,513结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models project Shanghai's September 23 high near 28–29°C amid mostly cloudy skies and easterly winds of 7–10 mph, which limit daytime insolation and moderate surface heating. Dew points around 18–20°C support relative humidity of 60–70%, further capping temperature rise through evaporative cooling and reduced solar absorption. Recent model consensus shows minimal shifts in steering patterns or cloud thickness over the past 48 hours, keeping the 28°C and 29°C outcomes closely matched at 49% and 40% implied probability. Key variables ahead include any late adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing from updated runs by agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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