Recent forecast consensus from models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a high in Taipei on September 11 around 28–30°C amid mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northeast winds of 7–10 m/s that limit diurnal heating. Persistent cloud cover and 60–90% precipitation chances in several runs suppress peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, favoring the market's leading 29–30°C outcomes. Clearer intervals or delayed rain could allow brief warming to 31°C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would cap readings nearer 27–28°C. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology of 25–31°C highs but carry short-term uncertainty from evolving model guidance on moisture and steering patterns ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日台北气温最高?
30°C 26%
29°C 26%
28°C 16%
31°C 13%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
10%
28°C
16%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
6%
34°C或更高
1%
30°C 26%
29°C 26%
28°C 16%
31°C 13%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
10%
28°C
16%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
6%
34°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a high in Taipei on September 11 around 28–30°C amid mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northeast winds of 7–10 m/s that limit diurnal heating. Persistent cloud cover and 60–90% precipitation chances in several runs suppress peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, favoring the market's leading 29–30°C outcomes. Clearer intervals or delayed rain could allow brief warming to 31°C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would cap readings nearer 27–28°C. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology of 25–31°C highs but carry short-term uncertainty from evolving model guidance on moisture and steering patterns ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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