Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月23日东京气温最高？
7月23日东京气温最高？
36°C 34%
35°C 27%
37°C 19%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
12%
35°C
27%
36°C
34%
37°C
19%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 34%
35°C 27%
37°C 19%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
29°C or below
$125 交易量
<1%
30°C
$125 交易量
<1%
31°C
$27 交易量
<1%
32°C
$23 交易量
1%
33°C
$69 交易量
2%
34°C
$316 交易量
12%
35°C
$68 交易量
27%
36°C
$736 交易量
34%
37°C
$180 交易量
19%
38°C
$424 交易量
8%
39°C or higher
$3,133 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,225结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,225结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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