Recent forecasts from Environment Canada, NOAA-linked models, and European guidance converge on a daytime high of 24–26 °C for Toronto on 22 August, aligning with the long-term average of 25.6 °C and positioning those outcomes as market leaders. A southeasterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary will maintain partly cloudy skies and modest instability, supporting isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms that cap extreme warming while allowing peaks near the seasonal norm. Latest model runs show minimal spread, with any slight upward revision in maximum temperature hinging on reduced cloud cover or delayed convection; traders appear to weight this narrow ensemble consensus heavily, reflected in the combined 83 % implied probability for 24–26 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日多伦多气温最高？
8月22日多伦多气温最高？
25°C 36%
26°C 24%
24°C 23%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
23%
25°C
36%
26°C
24%
27°C
12%
28°C
8%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 24%
24°C 23%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
20°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$5 交易量
1%
23°C
$2 交易量
10%
24°C
$1 交易量
23%
25°C
$13 交易量
36%
26°C
$7 交易量
24%
27°C
$7 交易量
12%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$5 交易量
9%
30°C or higher
$95 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada, NOAA-linked models, and European guidance converge on a daytime high of 24–26 °C for Toronto on 22 August, aligning with the long-term average of 25.6 °C and positioning those outcomes as market leaders. A southeasterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary will maintain partly cloudy skies and modest instability, supporting isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms that cap extreme warming while allowing peaks near the seasonal norm. Latest model runs show minimal spread, with any slight upward revision in maximum temperature hinging on reduced cloud cover or delayed convection; traders appear to weight this narrow ensemble consensus heavily, reflected in the combined 83 % implied probability for 24–26 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$135结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada, NOAA-linked models, and European guidance converge on a daytime high of 24–26 °C for Toronto on 22 August, aligning with the long-term average of 25.6 °C and positioning those outcomes as market leaders. A southeasterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary will maintain partly cloudy skies and modest instability, supporting isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms that cap extreme warming while allowing peaks near the seasonal norm. Latest model runs show minimal spread, with any slight upward revision in maximum temperature hinging on reduced cloud cover or delayed convection; traders appear to weight this narrow ensemble consensus heavily, reflected in the combined 83 % implied probability for 24–26 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$135结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada, NOAA-linked models, and European guidance converge on a daytime high of 24–26 °C for Toronto on 22 August, aligning with the long-term average of 25.6 °C and positioning those outcomes as market leaders. A southeasterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary will maintain partly cloudy skies and modest instability, supporting isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms that cap extreme warming while allowing peaks near the seasonal norm. Latest model runs show minimal spread, with any slight upward revision in maximum temperature hinging on reduced cloud cover or delayed convection; traders appear to weight this narrow ensemble consensus heavily, reflected in the combined 83 % implied probability for 24–26 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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