**Trader consensus favors three carriers in the CENTCOM area of responsibility on November 30 at 67 percent implied probability.** Two Nimitz-class carriers—USS George H.W. Bush (deployed since April) and USS George Washington (since August)—are already operating in the Arabian Sea supporting maritime security and blockade enforcement amid US-Iran tensions. The USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group transited the Strait of Malacca after a Singapore port call in early November and is expected to enter the CENTCOM theater in mid-to-late November. Market pricing reflects uncertainty over whether Roosevelt will arrive as a reinforcement creating a temporary three-carrier concentration or relieve George Washington, with the latter’s extended deployment making rotation plausible around late November. Recent diplomatic contacts and post-midterm policy signals have not altered the near-term deployment timeline, keeping overlap through November 30 the most probable scenario under current operational patterns.