The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+2 partisan lean and Nunn’s narrow 2024 reelection margin of roughly four points make it one of the more competitive House contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican. Traders appear to weigh midterm dynamics, recent Democratic ad launches and six-figure media buys in early August, and polling showing the challenger competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. Ongoing campaign attacks from Republican leadership and the presence of a Libertarian candidate add further variables, though primary results confirmed both major-party nominees without significant intra-party challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
78%
共和党
23%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,519 交易量
78%
共和党
$4,628 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+2 partisan lean and Nunn’s narrow 2024 reelection margin of roughly four points make it one of the more competitive House contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican. Traders appear to weigh midterm dynamics, recent Democratic ad launches and six-figure media buys in early August, and polling showing the challenger competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. Ongoing campaign attacks from Republican leadership and the presence of a Libertarian candidate add further variables, though primary results confirmed both major-party nominees without significant intra-party challenges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$8,147结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+2 partisan lean and Nunn’s narrow 2024 reelection margin of roughly four points make it one of the more competitive House contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican. Traders appear to weigh midterm dynamics, recent Democratic ad launches and six-figure media buys in early August, and polling showing the challenger competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. Ongoing campaign attacks from Republican leadership and the presence of a Libertarian candidate add further variables, though primary results confirmed both major-party nominees without significant intra-party challenges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,147结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+2 partisan lean and Nunn’s narrow 2024 reelection margin of roughly four points make it one of the more competitive House contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican. Traders appear to weigh midterm dynamics, recent Democratic ad launches and six-figure media buys in early August, and polling showing the challenger competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. Ongoing campaign attacks from Republican leadership and the presence of a Libertarian candidate add further variables, though primary results confirmed both major-party nominees without significant intra-party challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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