Idaho’s entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, including consistent double-digit margins in recent gubernatorial races, anchors trader consensus on a Republican winner. Incumbent Governor Brad Little’s strong fundraising lead, endorsement support, and positioning ahead of the May 19 primary reinforce this outlook, as the state’s electorate has favored Republican nominees by wide margins for decades. Democratic candidates face structural barriers in registration, turnout patterns, and limited recent success. A late primary surprise or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, yet historical precedents and current campaign metrics indicate limited pathways for such shifts before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,750 交易量
94%
民主党
$3,435 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho’s entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, including consistent double-digit margins in recent gubernatorial races, anchors trader consensus on a Republican winner. Incumbent Governor Brad Little’s strong fundraising lead, endorsement support, and positioning ahead of the May 19 primary reinforce this outlook, as the state’s electorate has favored Republican nominees by wide margins for decades. Democratic candidates face structural barriers in registration, turnout patterns, and limited recent success. A late primary surprise or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, yet historical precedents and current campaign metrics indicate limited pathways for such shifts before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,185结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho’s entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, including consistent double-digit margins in recent gubernatorial races, anchors trader consensus on a Republican winner. Incumbent Governor Brad Little’s strong fundraising lead, endorsement support, and positioning ahead of the May 19 primary reinforce this outlook, as the state’s electorate has favored Republican nominees by wide margins for decades. Democratic candidates face structural barriers in registration, turnout patterns, and limited recent success. A late primary surprise or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, yet historical precedents and current campaign metrics indicate limited pathways for such shifts before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$7,185结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, including consistent double-digit margins in recent gubernatorial races, anchors trader consensus on a Republican winner. Incumbent Governor Brad Little’s strong fundraising lead, endorsement support, and positioning ahead of the May 19 primary reinforce this outlook, as the state’s electorate has favored Republican nominees by wide margins for decades. Democratic candidates face structural barriers in registration, turnout patterns, and limited recent success. A late primary surprise or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, yet historical precedents and current campaign metrics indicate limited pathways for such shifts before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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