Kim Jong Un maintains firm control over North Korea’s institutions, with recent reappointments as general secretary and president of state affairs in early 2026 underscoring elite continuity in the hereditary system. Public appearances, policy announcements on nuclear capabilities, and cadre reshuffles without signs of internal challenge have reinforced trader expectations that removal by year-end remains improbable. The compressed timeline to December 31, 2026, further limits realistic pathways for abrupt change. While sudden health events or rare elite-level disruptions could theoretically alter the outcome, no verifiable indicators of such developments have emerged to shift the prevailing consensus reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$142,051 交易量
$142,051 交易量
2026-12-31
$142,051 交易量
$142,051 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un maintains firm control over North Korea’s institutions, with recent reappointments as general secretary and president of state affairs in early 2026 underscoring elite continuity in the hereditary system. Public appearances, policy announcements on nuclear capabilities, and cadre reshuffles without signs of internal challenge have reinforced trader expectations that removal by year-end remains improbable. The compressed timeline to December 31, 2026, further limits realistic pathways for abrupt change. While sudden health events or rare elite-level disruptions could theoretically alter the outcome, no verifiable indicators of such developments have emerged to shift the prevailing consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
交易量
$142,051结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un maintains firm control over North Korea’s institutions, with recent reappointments as general secretary and president of state affairs in early 2026 underscoring elite continuity in the hereditary system. Public appearances, policy announcements on nuclear capabilities, and cadre reshuffles without signs of internal challenge have reinforced trader expectations that removal by year-end remains improbable. The compressed timeline to December 31, 2026, further limits realistic pathways for abrupt change. While sudden health events or rare elite-level disruptions could theoretically alter the outcome, no verifiable indicators of such developments have emerged to shift the prevailing consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$142,051结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kim Jong Un maintains firm control over North Korea’s institutions, with recent reappointments as general secretary and president of state affairs in early 2026 underscoring elite continuity in the hereditary system. Public appearances, policy announcements on nuclear capabilities, and cadre reshuffles without signs of internal challenge have reinforced trader expectations that removal by year-end remains improbable. The compressed timeline to December 31, 2026, further limits realistic pathways for abrupt change. While sudden health events or rare elite-level disruptions could theoretically alter the outcome, no verifiable indicators of such developments have emerged to shift the prevailing consensus reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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