Recent parliamentary reelection of Kim Jong Un as head of state and State Affairs Commission president, combined with Workers’ Party charter revisions that explicitly expand his appointment powers and remove references to prior leaders, has reinforced his centralized control. These steps, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with Russia and China, signal institutional stability with no reported internal challenges or health indicators suggesting transition. Trader consensus at 96 percent against removal by year-end reflects the regime’s opacity and the limited three-month window, where abrupt shifts would require unprecedented events such as sudden incapacitation or elite realignment not observed in recent state media or intelligence assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
$196,770 交易量
$196,770 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
$196,770 交易量
$196,770 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent parliamentary reelection of Kim Jong Un as head of state and State Affairs Commission president, combined with Workers’ Party charter revisions that explicitly expand his appointment powers and remove references to prior leaders, has reinforced his centralized control. These steps, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with Russia and China, signal institutional stability with no reported internal challenges or health indicators suggesting transition. Trader consensus at 96 percent against removal by year-end reflects the regime’s opacity and the limited three-month window, where abrupt shifts would require unprecedented events such as sudden incapacitation or elite realignment not observed in recent state media or intelligence assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
交易量
$196,770结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent parliamentary reelection of Kim Jong Un as head of state and State Affairs Commission president, combined with Workers’ Party charter revisions that explicitly expand his appointment powers and remove references to prior leaders, has reinforced his centralized control. These steps, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with Russia and China, signal institutional stability with no reported internal challenges or health indicators suggesting transition. Trader consensus at 96 percent against removal by year-end reflects the regime’s opacity and the limited three-month window, where abrupt shifts would require unprecedented events such as sudden incapacitation or elite realignment not observed in recent state media or intelligence assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$196,770结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETRecent parliamentary reelection of Kim Jong Un as head of state and State Affairs Commission president, combined with Workers’ Party charter revisions that explicitly expand his appointment powers and remove references to prior leaders, has reinforced his centralized control. These steps, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with Russia and China, signal institutional stability with no reported internal challenges or health indicators suggesting transition. Trader consensus at 96 percent against removal by year-end reflects the regime’s opacity and the limited three-month window, where abrupt shifts would require unprecedented events such as sudden incapacitation or elite realignment not observed in recent state media or intelligence assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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